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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 4 · Early Edition

College football · Week 4 · Saturday, September 26, 12:45 PM ET · Final South Alabama 21, Kentucky 45

South Alabama at Kentucky

Kentucky −19.5 at our first look, −20.5 at kickoff. Sun Belt vs. SEC.

Conditions · Kroger Field: At kickoff: 68°F, wind 6 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: South Alabama 0.0 · Kentucky 0.0. Market: moved 1 toward Kentucky.

Landed: South Alabama 21, Kentucky 45. Kentucky covered the closing line (Kentucky −20.5). The move toward Kentucky was right. 66 points, over the closing total of 54.

South Alabama Jaguars 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Kentucky Wildcats 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Kentucky lineKentucky Wildcats spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Kentucky.
−21−20−19Opening line−19.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 PM−1Closing line−20.5
−21−20−19Opening line−19.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 PM−1Closing line−20.5

Final: South Alabama 21, Kentucky 45. Kentucky beat the closing number by 3.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−19.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 20, 1:55 PM ET-1
Closing line−20.5
What moved the Kentucky moneylineKentucky Wildcats moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Kentucky.
−900Opening line−900Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 PM−900Closing line−910
−900Opening line−900Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 PM−900Closing line−910
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line90.0% (−900)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 20, 1:55 PM ET90.0% (−900)
Closing line90.1% (−910)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
5455Opening line54.5Market move, no reported newsMon 1:55 PM−0.5Closing line54
5455Opening line54.5Market move, no reported newsMon 1:55 PM−0.5Closing line54

Final: 66 points, over the closing total of 54.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line54.5
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 21, 1:55 PM ET-0.5
Closing line54

Every Book · Kentucky side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−20.5 −114−15001.07 90.1%54Sat 11:55 AM
DraftKings−20.5 −115−16001.06 90.4%53.5Sat 11:55 AM
FanDuel−20.5 −110−17001.06 90.3%54.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetMGM−20.5 −110−14001.07 90.7%54.5Sat 11:55 AM
Caesars−20.5 −110−17001.06 90.4%54.5Mon 11:55 AM
Fanatics−20.5 −110−14001.07 89.9%54.5Mon 9:55 PM
BetRivers−20.5 −114−20001.05 90.5%54Sat 11:55 AM
BetOnline−20.5 −115−15001.07 90.1%54Sat 11:55 AM
Bovada−20.5 −115−15001.07 89.1%54Sat 11:55 AM
LowVig−20.5 −112−15001.07 90.1%54Sat 11:55 AM
MyBookie−21 −110−16831.06 89.7%54.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetUS−20.5 −115−15001.07 89.9%54Sat 11:55 AM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.