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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 4 · Early Edition

College football · Week 4 · Saturday, September 26, 7:00 PM ET · Final South Carolina 18, Alabama 49

South Carolina at 6Alabama

Alabama −11.5 at our first look, −12.5 at kickoff. SEC game.

Conditions · Bryant-Denny Stadium: At kickoff: 82°F, wind 6 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: South Carolina 0.0 · Alabama 0.0. Market: moved 1 toward Alabama.

Landed: South Carolina 18, Alabama 49. Alabama covered the closing line (Alabama −12.5). The move toward Alabama was right. 67 points, over the closing total of 53.5.

South Carolina Gamecocks 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Alabama Crimson Tide 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Alabama lineAlabama Crimson Tide spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Alabama.
−13−12−11−10Opening line−11.5Market move, no reported newsSat 1:55 PM+1.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM−2.5Closing line−12.5
−13−12−11−10Opening line−11.5Market move, no reported newsSat 1:55 PM+1.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM−2.5Closing line−12.5

Final: South Carolina 18, Alabama 49. Alabama beat the closing number by 18.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−11.5
Market move, no reported newsSat Sep 19, 1:55 PM ET+1.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 20, 9:55 AM ET-2.5
Closing line−12.5
What moved the Alabama moneylineAlabama Crimson Tide moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Alabama.
−317−355−400−456Opening line−369Market move, no reported newsSat 1:55 PM−302Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM−441Less than the spread implies−400Closing line−400
−317−355−400−456Opening line−369Market move, no reported newsSat 1:55 PM−302Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM−441Less than the spread implies−400Closing line−400
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line78.7% (−369)
Market move, no reported newsSat Sep 19, 1:55 PM ET75.1% (−302)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 20, 9:55 AM ET81.5% (−441)
Less than the spread implies80.0% (−400)
Closing line80.0% (−400)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
4648505254Opening line46.5Market move, no reported newsFri 3:55 PM+3Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM+4Closing line53.5
4648505254Opening line46.5Market move, no reported newsFri 3:55 PM+3Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM+4Closing line53.5

Final: 67 points, over the closing total of 53.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line46.5
Market move, no reported newsFri Sep 18, 3:55 PM ET+3
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 20, 9:55 AM ET+4
Closing line53.5

Every Book · Alabama side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−12.5 −110−5051.20 80.0%53.5Sat 5:55 PM
DraftKings−12.5 −110−5001.20 80.0%53.5Sat 5:55 PM
FanDuel−12.5 −110−5001.20 79.8%53.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetMGM−12 −118−5001.20 80.0%53.5Sat 5:55 PM
Caesars−12.5 −109−5001.20 80.0%53.5Sat 5:55 PM
Fanatics−12.5 −110−5251.19 80.5%53.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetRivers−12 −113−5901.17 81.0%53.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetOnline−12.5 −110−5051.20 80.2%53Sat 5:55 PM
Bovada−12.5 −110−5251.19 80.0%53.5Sat 5:55 PM
LowVig−12.5 −106−5051.20 80.2%53Sat 5:55 PM
MyBookie−12.5 −110−5261.19 79.8%53.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetUS−12.5 −110−4851.21 79.9%53Sat 5:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.