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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 4 · Early Edition

College football · Week 4 · Saturday, September 26, 12:00 PM ET · Final Texas 20, Tennessee 17

1Texas at 15Tennessee

Tennessee +6.5 at our first look, +5.5 at kickoff. SEC game.

Conditions · Neyland Stadium: At kickoff: 67°F, wind 4 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Texas 0.0 · Tennessee 0.0. Market: moved 1 toward Tennessee.

Landed: Texas 20, Tennessee 17. Tennessee covered the closing line (Tennessee +5.5). The move toward Tennessee was right. 37 points, under the closing total of 54.5.

Texas Longhorns 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Tennessee Volunteers 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Tennessee lineTennessee Volunteers spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Tennessee.
+5+6+7Opening line+6.5Market move, no reported newsWed 7:55 PM−0.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 PM−0.5Closing line+5.5
+5+6+7Opening line+6.5Market move, no reported newsWed 7:55 PM−0.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 PM−0.5Closing line+5.5

Final: Texas 20, Tennessee 17. Tennessee beat the closing number by 2.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line+6.5
Market move, no reported newsWed Sep 16, 7:55 PM ET-0.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 20, 1:55 PM ET-0.5
Closing line+5.5
What moved the Tennessee moneylineTennessee Volunteers moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Tennessee.
+233+212+194+178Opening line+229Market move, no reported newsWed 7:55 PM+202Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 PM+186Closing line+182
+233+212+194+178Opening line+229Market move, no reported newsWed 7:55 PM+202Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 PM+186Closing line+182
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line30.4% (+229)
Market move, no reported newsWed Sep 16, 7:55 PM ET33.1% (+202)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 20, 1:55 PM ET35.0% (+186)
Closing line35.4% (+182)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
54555657Opening line56.5Market move, no reported newsMon 1:55 PM−2Closing line54.5
54555657Opening line56.5Market move, no reported newsMon 1:55 PM−2Closing line54.5

Final: 37 points, under the closing total of 54.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line56.5
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 21, 1:55 PM ET-2
Closing line54.5

Every Book · Tennessee side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus+5.5 −110+1702.70 35.4%54.5Sat 11:55 AM
DraftKings+5.5 −115+1702.70 35.5%54.5Sat 11:55 AM
FanDuel+4.5 −108+1602.60 36.8%54.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetMGM+5.5 −105+1752.75 34.9%54.5Sat 11:55 AM
Caesars+5.5 −114+1712.71 35.4%54.5Sat 11:55 AM
Fanatics+5.5 −115+1702.70 35.5%54.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetRivers+5.5 −113+1632.63 36.0%55Sat 11:55 AM
BetOnline+5.5 −110+1772.77 34.9%54.5Sat 11:55 AM
Bovada+5.5 −110+1752.75 34.9%54.5Sat 11:55 AM
LowVig+5.5 −106+1772.77 34.9%54.5Sat 11:55 AM
MyBookie+5.5 −110+1702.70 35.3%55Sat 11:55 AM
BetUS— —+1702.70 35.7%54Sat 11:55 AM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.