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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 4 · Early Edition

College football · Week 4 · Saturday, September 26, 1:30 PM ET · Final UCLA 54, Maryland 3

21UCLA at Maryland

Maryland +1.5 at our first look, +2.5 at kickoff. Big Ten game.

Conditions · SECU Stadium: At kickoff: 65°F, wind 14 mph (gusts 29), dry.

The read at kickoff

News: UCLA 0.0 · Maryland 0.0. Market: moved 1 toward UCLA.

Landed: UCLA 54, Maryland 3. UCLA covered the closing line (Maryland +2.5). The move toward UCLA was right. 57 points, over the closing total of 55.5.

UCLA Bruins 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Maryland Terrapins 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Maryland lineMaryland Terrapins spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Maryland.
+1+2+3Opening line+1.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM+0.5Market move, no reported newsMon 7:55 PM+0.5Closing line+2.5
+1+2+3Opening line+1.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM+0.5Market move, no reported newsMon 7:55 PM+0.5Closing line+2.5

Final: UCLA 54, Maryland 3. Maryland missed the closing number by 48.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line+1.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 20, 9:55 AM ET+0.5
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 21, 7:55 PM ET+0.5
Closing line+2.5
What moved the Maryland moneylineMaryland Terrapins moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Maryland.
+127+122+117+113+108+104Opening line+107Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM+111Market move, no reported newsMon 7:55 PM+117Price-only move+124Closing line+124
+127+122+117+113+108+104Opening line+107Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM+111Market move, no reported newsMon 7:55 PM+117Price-only move+124Closing line+124
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line48.3% (+107)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 20, 9:55 AM ET47.3% (+111)
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 21, 7:55 PM ET46.0% (+117)
Price-only move44.6% (+124)
Closing line44.6% (+124)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
5152535455565758Opening line51.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM+6Market move, no reported newsTue 11:55 AM−2Closing line55.5
52545658Opening line51.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM+6Market move, no reported newsTue 11:55 AM−2Closing line55.5

Final: 57 points, over the closing total of 55.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line51.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 20, 9:55 AM ET+6
Market move, no reported newsTue Sep 22, 11:55 AM ET-2
Closing line55.5

Every Book · Maryland side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus+2.5 −108+1152.15 44.6%55.5Sat 11:55 AM
DraftKings+2.5 −110+1202.20 43.7%55.5Sat 11:55 AM
FanDuel+2.5 −106+1152.15 44.5%55.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetMGM+2.5 −108+1152.15 44.4%56.5Sat 11:55 AM
Caesars+2.5 −108+1112.11 45.6%55.5Sat 11:55 AM
Fanatics+1.5 −115+1002.00 47.8%58Mon 9:55 PM
BetRivers+1.5 −110+1022.02 46.9%57Sat 11:55 AM
BetOnline+2 −103+1172.17 44.4%55.5Sat 11:55 AM
Bovada+2.5 −105+1152.15 44.7%56Sat 11:55 AM
LowVig+2 +101+1172.17 44.4%55.5Sat 11:55 AM
MyBookie+2.5 −110+1092.09 45.6%56.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetUS+2.5 −110+1152.15 44.7%55.5Sat 11:55 AM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.