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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 4 · Early Edition

College football · Week 4 · Saturday, September 26, 4:15 PM ET · Final Vanderbilt 15, Auburn 21

Vanderbilt at Auburn

Auburn −8.5 at our first look, −10 at kickoff. SEC game.

Conditions · Jordan-Hare Stadium: At kickoff: 82°F, wind 7 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Vanderbilt 0.0 · Auburn 0.0. Market: moved 1.5 toward Auburn.

Landed: Vanderbilt 15, Auburn 21. Vanderbilt covered the closing line (Auburn −10). The move toward Auburn was wrong. 36 points, under the closing total of 54.5.

Vanderbilt Commodores 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Auburn Tigers 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Auburn lineAuburn Tigers spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Auburn.
−10−9−8Opening line−8.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM−1Market move, no reported newsSat 11:55 AM−0.5Closing line−10
−10−9−8Opening line−8.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM−1Market move, no reported newsSat 11:55 AM−0.5Closing line−10

Final: Vanderbilt 15, Auburn 21. Auburn missed the closing number by 4.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−8.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 20, 9:55 AM ET-1
Market move, no reported newsSat Sep 26, 11:55 AM ET-0.5
Closing line−10
What moved the Auburn moneylineAuburn Tigers moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Auburn.
−285−300−317−335−355Opening line−286Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM−335Market move, no reported newsSat 11:55 AM−355Less than the spread implies−317Closing line−317
−285−300−317−335−355Opening line−286Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM−335Market move, no reported newsSat 11:55 AM−355Less than the spread implies−317Closing line−317
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line74.1% (−286)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 20, 9:55 AM ET77.0% (−335)
Market move, no reported newsSat Sep 26, 11:55 AM ET78.0% (−355)
Less than the spread implies76.0% (−317)
Closing line76.0% (−317)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
50515253545556Opening line50.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM+5.5Market move, no reported newsMon 11:55 AM−1.5Closing line54.5
50525456Opening line50.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM+5.5Market move, no reported newsMon 11:55 AM−1.5Closing line54.5

Final: 36 points, under the closing total of 54.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line50.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 20, 9:55 AM ET+5.5
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 21, 11:55 AM ET-1.5
Closing line54.5

Every Book · Auburn side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−10 −109−3921.25 76.0%54.5Sat 3:55 PM
DraftKings−10 −108−3951.25 76.6%54.5Sat 3:55 PM
FanDuel−9.5 −122−3851.26 76.0%54.5Sat 3:55 PM
BetMGM−10 −108−3751.27 75.9%54.5Sat 3:55 PM
Caesars−10 −108−3801.26 76.0%54.5Sat 3:55 PM
Fanatics−9.5 −110−3501.29 74.5%55Mon 9:55 PM
BetRivers−10 −108−4001.25 76.0%54.5Sat 3:55 PM
BetOnline−10 −110−4001.25 76.9%54.5Sat 3:55 PM
Bovada−10 −110−3901.26 75.9%54.5Sat 3:55 PM
LowVig−10 −106−4001.25 76.9%54.5Sat 3:55 PM
MyBookie−10 −110−4001.25 76.2%54.5Sat 3:55 PM
BetUS−10 −110−3601.28 75.3%54.5Sat 3:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.