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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 5 · Early Edition

College football · Week 5 · Saturday, October 3, 3:30 PM ET · Final Akron 17, Central Michigan 41

Akron at Central Michigan

Central Michigan −5.5 at our first look, −7 at kickoff. Mid-American game.

Conditions · Kelly/Shorts Stadium: At kickoff: 63°F, wind 6 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Akron 0.0 · Central Michigan 0.0. Market: moved 1.5 toward Central Michigan.

Landed: Akron 17, Central Michigan 41. Central Michigan covered the closing line (Central Michigan −7). The move toward Central Michigan was right. 58 points, over the closing total of 47.5.

Akron Zips 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Central Michigan Chippewas 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Central Michigan lineCentral Michigan Chippewas spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Central Michigan.
−7−6−5Opening line−5.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 5:55 PM−0.5Market move, no reported newsMon 3:55 PM−1Closing line−7
−7−6−5Opening line−5.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 5:55 PM−0.5Market move, no reported newsMon 3:55 PM−1Closing line−7

Final: Akron 17, Central Michigan 41. Central Michigan beat the closing number by 17.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−5.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 27, 5:55 PM ET-0.5
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 28, 3:55 PM ET-1
Closing line−7
What moved the Central Michigan moneylineCentral Michigan Chippewas moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Central Michigan.
−194−213−233−257Opening line−192Reaction to last week's gameSun 5:55 PM−209Market move, no reported newsMon 3:55 PM−256Less than the spread implies−238Closing line−238
−194−213−233−257Opening line−192Reaction to last week's gameSun 5:55 PM−209Market move, no reported newsMon 3:55 PM−256Less than the spread implies−238Closing line−238
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line65.8% (−192)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 27, 5:55 PM ET67.6% (−209)
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 28, 3:55 PM ET71.9% (−256)
Less than the spread implies70.4% (−238)
Closing line70.4% (−238)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
464748Opening line46.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:55 PM+0.5Market move, no reported newsSat 1:55 PM+0.5Closing line47.5
464748Opening line46.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:55 PM+0.5Market move, no reported newsSat 1:55 PM+0.5Closing line47.5

Final: 58 points, over the closing total of 47.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line46.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 27, 3:55 PM ET+0.5
Market move, no reported newsSat Oct 3, 1:55 PM ET+0.5
Closing line47.5

Every Book · Central Michigan side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−7 −110−2751.36 70.4%47.5Sat 1:55 PM
DraftKings−7 −108−2781.36 70.5%47.5Sat 1:55 PM
FanDuel−6.5 −124−2751.36 70.1%47.5Sat 1:55 PM
BetMGM−7 −110−2751.36 70.4%47.5Sat 1:55 PM
Caesars−6 −110−2251.44 66.2%46.5Mon 7:55 AM
Fanatics−7 −105−2751.36 70.1%47.5Sat 1:55 PM
BetRivers−7 −110−2951.34 70.8%47.5Sat 1:55 PM
BetOnline−7 +100−2651.38 69.8%47Sat 1:55 PM
Bovada−7 −110−2751.36 70.4%47.5Sat 1:55 PM
LowVig−7 −101−2651.38 69.8%47Sat 1:55 PM
MyBookie−7 −110−2901.34 70.8%47Sat 1:55 PM
BetUS−7 −115−2701.37 70.3%47Sat 1:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.