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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 5 · Early Edition

College football · Week 5 · Saturday, October 3, 7:00 PM ET · Final Arkansas 7, Texas A&M 34

Arkansas at Texas A&M

Texas A&M −15.5 at our first look, −13.5 at kickoff. SEC game.

Conditions · Kyle Field: At kickoff: 77°F, wind 9 mph (gusts 21), dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Arkansas 0.0 · Texas A&M 0.0. Market: moved 2 toward Arkansas.

Landed: Arkansas 7, Texas A&M 34. Texas A&M covered the closing line (Texas A&M −13.5). The move toward Arkansas was wrong. 41 points, under the closing total of 50.5.

Arkansas Razorbacks 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Texas A&M Aggies 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Texas A&M lineTexas A&M Aggies spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Texas A&M.
−16−15−14−13Opening line−15.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM+1.5Market move, no reported newsFri 11:55 AM+0.5Closing line−13.5
−16−15−14−13Opening line−15.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM+1.5Market move, no reported newsFri 11:55 AM+0.5Closing line−13.5

Final: Arkansas 7, Texas A&M 34. Texas A&M beat the closing number by 13.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−15.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 27, 11:55 AM ET+1.5
Market move, no reported newsFri Oct 2, 11:55 AM ET+0.5
Closing line−13.5
What moved the Texas A&M moneylineTexas A&M Aggies moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Texas A&M.
−456−488−525−567Opening line−554Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM−554Market move, no reported newsFri 11:55 AM−533Price-only move−468Closing line−468
−456−488−525−567Opening line−554Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM−554Market move, no reported newsFri 11:55 AM−533Price-only move−468Closing line−468
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line84.7% (−554)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 27, 11:55 AM ET84.7% (−554)
Market move, no reported newsFri Oct 2, 11:55 AM ET84.2% (−533)
Price-only move82.4% (−468)
Closing line82.4% (−468)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
505152Opening line51.5Market move, no reported newsTue 11:55 AM−1Closing line50.5
505152Opening line51.5Market move, no reported newsTue 11:55 AM−1Closing line50.5

Final: 41 points, under the closing total of 50.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line51.5
Market move, no reported newsTue Sep 29, 11:55 AM ET-1
Closing line50.5

Every Book · Texas A&M side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−13.5 −112−6001.17 82.4%50.5Sat 5:55 PM
DraftKings−13.5 −115−6001.17 82.2%50.5Sat 5:55 PM
FanDuel−13.5 −110−6001.17 82.0%50.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetMGM−14 −108−6001.17 82.5%50.5Sat 5:55 PM
Caesars−13.5 −120−5901.17 81.8%50.5Sat 5:55 PM
Fanatics−13.5 −115−6001.17 82.2%50.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetRivers−14 −112−6701.15 82.7%51Sat 5:55 PM
BetOnline−13.5 −117−6001.17 82.4%50Sat 5:55 PM
Bovada−14 −105−6251.16 82.0%50.5Sat 5:55 PM
LowVig−13.5 −113−6001.17 82.4%50Sat 5:55 PM
MyBookie−14 −110−6491.15 82.7%50.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetUS−13.5 −110−6001.17 82.5%50Sat 5:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.