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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 5 · Early Edition

College football · Week 5 · Saturday, October 3, 7:30 PM ET · Final Army 29, Louisiana Tech 31

Army at Louisiana Tech

Louisiana Tech +3.5 at our first look, −1 at kickoff. American Athletic vs. Sun Belt.

Conditions · Joe Aillet Stadium: At kickoff: 80°F, wind 9 mph (gusts 17), dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Army 0.0 · Louisiana Tech 0.0. Market: moved 4.5 toward Louisiana Tech.

Landed: Army 29, Louisiana Tech 31. Louisiana Tech covered the closing line (Louisiana Tech −1). The move toward Louisiana Tech was right. 60 points, over the closing total of 47.

Army Black Knights 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Louisiana Tech lineLouisiana Tech Bulldogs spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Louisiana Tech.
−1PK+1+2+3+4Opening line+3.5Market move, no reported newsMon 9:55 AM−4.5Closing line−1
−1PK+1+2+3+4Opening line+3.5Market move, no reported newsMon 9:55 AM−4.5Closing line−1

Final: Army 29, Louisiana Tech 31. Louisiana Tech beat the closing number by 1.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line+3.5
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 28, 9:55 AM ET-4.5
Closing line−1
What moved the Louisiana Tech moneylineLouisiana Tech Bulldogs moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Louisiana Tech.
+150+122−100Opening line+156Market move, no reported newsMon 9:55 AM−111Less than the spread implies−100Closing line−100
+150+122−100Opening line+156Market move, no reported newsMon 9:55 AM−111Less than the spread implies−100Closing line−100
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line39.1% (+156)
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 28, 9:55 AM ET52.5% (−111)
Less than the spread implies50.0% (−100)
Closing line50.0% (−100)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
44454647Opening line44.5Market move, no reported newsSun 3:55 PM+2.5Closing line47
44454647Opening line44.5Market move, no reported newsSun 3:55 PM+2.5Closing line47

Final: 60 points, over the closing total of 47.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line44.5
Market move, no reported newsSun Sep 27, 3:55 PM ET+2.5
Closing line47

Every Book · Louisiana Tech side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−1 −110−1101.91 50.0%47Sat 5:55 PM
DraftKings−1.5 −105−1101.91 50.0%47.5Sat 5:55 PM
FanDuel+1.5 −120−1061.94 49.2%47.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetMGM−1 −108−1101.91 50.2%47.5Sat 5:55 PM
Caesars+3.5 −117+1452.45 39.2%46.5Mon 7:55 AM
Fanatics+1 −115−1101.91 50.0%47Sat 5:55 PM
BetRivers+0.5 −110−1091.92 49.6%47.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetOnline−1 −111—— —47Sat 5:55 PM
Bovada−1 −105−1101.91 50.0%47Sat 5:55 PM
LowVig−1 −107—— —47Sat 5:55 PM
MyBookie+1 −110−1061.94 49.0%47Sat 5:55 PM
BetUSPK −110—— —47Sat 5:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.