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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 5 · Early Edition

College football · Week 5 · Saturday, October 3, 4:15 PM ET · Final Kentucky 35, South Carolina 34

Kentucky at South Carolina

South Carolina −7 at our first look, −2.5 at kickoff. SEC game.

Conditions · Williams-Brice Stadium: At kickoff: 80°F, wind 9 mph, rain.

The read at kickoff

News: Kentucky 0.0 · South Carolina 0.0. Market: moved 4.5 toward Kentucky.

Landed: Kentucky 35, South Carolina 34. Kentucky covered the closing line (South Carolina −2.5). The move toward Kentucky was right. 69 points, over the closing total of 52.5.

Kentucky Wildcats 0.0

No news that moves the number.

South Carolina Gamecocks 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the South Carolina lineSouth Carolina Gamecocks spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against South Carolina.
−7−6−5−4−3−2Opening line−7Market move, no reported newsThu 1:55 PM+1.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM+3Closing line−2.5
−7−6−5−4−3−2Opening line−7Market move, no reported newsThu 1:55 PM+1.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM+3Closing line−2.5

Final: Kentucky 35, South Carolina 34. South Carolina missed the closing number by 3.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−7
Market move, no reported newsThu Sep 24, 1:55 PM ET+1.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 27, 9:55 AM ET+3
Closing line−2.5
What moved the South Carolina moneylineSouth Carolina Gamecocks moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward South Carolina.
−100−122−150−186−233Opening line−233Market move, no reported newsThu 1:55 PM−179Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM−106Less than the spread implies−126Closing line−126
−100−122−150−186−233Opening line−233Market move, no reported newsThu 1:55 PM−179Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM−106Less than the spread implies−126Closing line−126
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line70.0% (−233)
Market move, no reported newsThu Sep 24, 1:55 PM ET64.2% (−179)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 27, 9:55 AM ET51.4% (−106)
Less than the spread implies55.8% (−126)
Closing line55.8% (−126)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
495051525354Opening line49.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM+4Market move, no reported newsThu 1:55 PM−1Closing line52.5
495051525354Opening line49.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM+4Market move, no reported newsThu 1:55 PM−1Closing line52.5

Final: 69 points, over the closing total of 52.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line49.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 27, 9:55 AM ET+4
Market move, no reported newsThu Oct 1, 1:55 PM ET-1
Closing line52.5

Every Book · South Carolina side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−2.5 −112−1401.71 55.8%52.5Sat 3:55 PM
DraftKings−2.5 −112−1421.70 56.3%52.5Sat 3:55 PM
FanDuel−2.5 −115−1401.71 55.8%52.5Sat 3:55 PM
BetMGM−2.5 −110−1401.71 55.6%52.5Sat 3:55 PM
Caesars−2.5 −118−1391.72 55.9%53.5Sat 3:55 PM
Fanatics−2.5 −110−1401.71 55.6%52.5Sat 3:55 PM
BetRivers−2.5 −117−1481.68 56.5%52.5Sat 3:55 PM
BetOnline−2.5 −112−1381.72 55.8%53.5Sat 3:55 PM
Bovada−2.5 −115−1351.74 55.3%52.5Sat 3:55 PM
LowVig−2.5 −108−1381.72 55.8%53.5Sat 3:55 PM
MyBookie−2.5 −110−1391.72 55.4%53Sat 3:55 PM
BetUS−2.5 −110−1401.71 56.2%53Sat 3:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.