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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 5 · Early Edition

College football · Week 5 · Saturday, October 3, 4:00 PM ET · Final Maryland 23, Nebraska 48

Maryland at Nebraska

Nebraska −14.5 at our first look, −15.5 at kickoff. Big Ten game.

Conditions · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE): At kickoff: 72°F, wind 10 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Maryland 0.0 · Nebraska 0.0. Market: moved 1 toward Nebraska.

Landed: Maryland 23, Nebraska 48. Nebraska covered the closing line (Nebraska −15.5). The move toward Nebraska was right. 71 points, over the closing total of 52.5.

Maryland Terrapins 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Nebraska Cornhuskers 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Nebraska lineNebraska Cornhuskers spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Nebraska.
−16−15−14Opening line−14.5Market move, no reported newsSat 3:55 PM−1Closing line−15.5
−16−15−14Opening line−14.5Market move, no reported newsSat 3:55 PM−1Closing line−15.5

Final: Maryland 23, Nebraska 48. Nebraska beat the closing number by 9.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−14.5
Market move, no reported newsSat Oct 3, 3:55 PM ET-1
Closing line−15.5
What moved the Nebraska moneylineNebraska Cornhuskers moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Nebraska.
−456−488−525Opening line−462Market move, no reported newsSat 3:55 PM−462Price-only move−529Closing line−529
−456−488−525Opening line−462Market move, no reported newsSat 3:55 PM−462Price-only move−529Closing line−529
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line82.2% (−462)
Market move, no reported newsSat Oct 3, 3:55 PM ET82.2% (−462)
Price-only move84.1% (−529)
Closing line84.1% (−529)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.

52.5 no movement since tracking began Sun 9:55 AM ET.

Every Book · Nebraska side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−15.5 −110−7001.14 84.1%52.5Sat 3:55 PM
DraftKings−15.5 −108−7001.14 84.0%52.5Sat 3:55 PM
FanDuel−15.5 −108−6701.15 83.2%52.5Sat 3:55 PM
BetMGM−15 −110−7001.14 84.5%52.5Sat 3:55 PM
Caesars−15.5 −107−6751.15 83.4%53.5Sat 3:55 PM
Fanatics−15.5 −110−7001.14 84.0%52.5Sat 3:55 PM
BetRivers−15 −110−9101.11 84.6%52.5Sat 3:55 PM
BetOnline−14.5 −115−7001.14 84.1%52.5Sat 3:55 PM
Bovada−15.5 −110−7501.13 84.1%53Sat 3:55 PM
LowVig−14.5 −111−7001.14 84.1%52.5Sat 3:55 PM
MyBookie−15.5 −110−7521.13 84.3%52.5Sat 3:55 PM
BetUS−14.5 −115−7001.14 84.0%52.5Sat 3:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.