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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 5 · Early Edition

College football · Week 5 · Saturday, October 3, 11:00 AM ET · Final Memphis 59, Charlotte 8

Memphis at Charlotte

Charlotte +21.5 at our first look, +20.5 at kickoff. American Athletic game.

Conditions · Jerry Richardson Stadium: At kickoff: 74°F, wind 2 mph, rain.

The read at kickoff

News: Memphis 0.0 · Charlotte 0.0. Market: moved 1 toward Charlotte.

Landed: Memphis 59, Charlotte 8. Memphis covered the closing line (Charlotte +20.5). The move toward Charlotte was wrong. 67 points, over the closing total of 52.

Memphis Tigers 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Charlotte 49ers 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Charlotte lineCharlotte 49ers spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Charlotte.
+20+21+22Opening line+21.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 5:55 PM−1.5Market move, no reported newsWed 9:55 AM+0.5Closing line+20.5
+20+21+22Opening line+21.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 5:55 PM−1.5Market move, no reported newsWed 9:55 AM+0.5Closing line+20.5

Final: Memphis 59, Charlotte 8. Charlotte missed the closing number by 30.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line+21.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 27, 5:55 PM ET-1.5
Market move, no reported newsWed Sep 30, 9:55 AM ET+0.5
Closing line+20.5
What moved the Charlotte moneylineCharlotte 49ers moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Charlotte.
+1329+1150+1011+900Opening line+1251Reaction to last week's gameSun 5:55 PM+1251Market move, no reported newsWed 9:55 AM+1251Price-only move+880Closing line+880
+1329+1150+1011+900Opening line+1251Reaction to last week's gameSun 5:55 PM+1251Market move, no reported newsWed 9:55 AM+1251Price-only move+880Closing line+880
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line7.4% (+1251)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 27, 5:55 PM ET7.4% (+1251)
Market move, no reported newsWed Sep 30, 9:55 AM ET7.4% (+1251)
Price-only move10.2% (+880)
Closing line10.2% (+880)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
52535455Opening line55Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:55 PM−1Market move, no reported newsTue 11:55 AM−2Closing line52
52535455Opening line55Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:55 PM−1Market move, no reported newsTue 11:55 AM−2Closing line52

Final: 67 points, over the closing total of 52.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line55
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 27, 3:55 PM ET-1
Market move, no reported newsTue Sep 29, 11:55 AM ET-2
Closing line52

Every Book · Charlotte side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus+20.5 −110+8439.43 10.2%52Sat 9:55 AM
DraftKings+20.5 −110+8509.50 10.1%52.5Sat 9:55 AM
FanDuel+20.5 −110+8909.90 9.7%52.5Sat 9:55 AM
BetMGM+20.5 −110+95010.50 9.3%52.5Sat 9:55 AM
Fanatics+20.5 −110+8509.50 10.1%52.5Sat 9:55 AM
BetRivers+20.5 −110+110012.00 7.9%52.5Sat 9:55 AM
BetOnline+20.5 −110+8369.36 10.3%52Sat 9:55 AM
Bovada+20.5 −110+7508.50 11.2%52Sat 9:55 AM
LowVig+20.5 −106+8369.36 10.3%52Sat 9:55 AM
MyBookie+20.5 −110+7508.50 11.2%52Sat 9:55 AM
BetUS+20.5 −110+8259.25 10.4%52Sat 9:55 AM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.