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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 5 · Early Edition

College football · Week 5 · Saturday, October 3, 7:30 PM ET · Final Miami 41, Clemson 13

4Miami at Clemson

Clemson +7 at our first look, +15 at kickoff. ACC game.

Conditions · Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC): At kickoff: 79°F, wind 4 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Miami 0.0 · Clemson 0.0. Market: moved 8 toward Miami.

Landed: Miami 41, Clemson 13. Miami covered the closing line (Clemson +15). The move toward Miami was right. 54 points, over the closing total of 49.

Miami Hurricanes 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Clemson Tigers 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Clemson lineClemson Tigers spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Clemson.
+6+8+10+12+14+16Opening line+7Market move, no reported newsWed 7:55 PM+8.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM−0.5Closing line+15
+6+8+10+12+14+16Opening line+7Market move, no reported newsWed 7:55 PM+8.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM−0.5Closing line+15

Final: Miami 41, Clemson 13. Clemson missed the closing number by 13.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line+7
Market move, no reported newsWed Sep 23, 7:55 PM ET+8.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 27, 9:55 AM ET-0.5
Closing line+15
What moved the Clemson moneylineClemson Tigers moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Clemson.
+900+567+400+300Opening line+276Market move, no reported newsWed 7:55 PM+862Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM+862Less than the spread implies+549Closing line+549
+900+567+400+300Opening line+276Market move, no reported newsWed 7:55 PM+862Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM+862Less than the spread implies+549Closing line+549
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line26.6% (+276)
Market move, no reported newsWed Sep 23, 7:55 PM ET10.4% (+862)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 27, 9:55 AM ET10.4% (+862)
Less than the spread implies15.4% (+549)
Closing line15.4% (+549)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
50525456Opening line55.5Market move, no reported newsWed 7:55 PM−4Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM−2.5Closing line49
50525456Opening line55.5Market move, no reported newsWed 7:55 PM−4Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM−2.5Closing line49

Final: 54 points, over the closing total of 49.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line55.5
Market move, no reported newsWed Sep 23, 7:55 PM ET-4
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 27, 9:55 AM ET-2.5
Closing line49

Every Book · Clemson side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus+15 −110+5256.25 15.4%49Sat 5:55 PM
DraftKings+14.5 −110+5256.25 15.3%48.5Sat 5:55 PM
FanDuel+15.5 −110+5306.30 15.2%48.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetMGM+15 −108+5256.25 15.5%48.5Sat 5:55 PM
Caesars+15.5 −110+5006.00 15.9%49Sat 5:55 PM
Fanatics+15 −110+5256.25 15.3%48.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetRivers+15.5 −112+5506.50 14.6%48Sat 5:55 PM
BetOnline+15 −107+5206.20 15.5%49Sat 5:55 PM
Bovada+14.5 −115+5256.25 15.3%49Sat 5:55 PM
LowVig+15 −106+5206.20 15.5%49Sat 5:55 PM
MyBookie+15 −110+5106.10 15.6%48Sat 3:55 PM
BetUS+14.5 −110+5156.15 15.6%49Sat 5:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.