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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 5 · Early Edition

College football · Week 5 · Thursday, October 1, 9:00 PM ET · Final North Texas 45, Tulsa 44

North Texas at Tulsa

Tulsa −2.5 at our first look, +3 at kickoff. American Athletic game.

Conditions · Chapman Stadium: At kickoff: 72°F, wind 4 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: North Texas 0.0 · Tulsa 0.0. Market: moved 5.5 toward North Texas.

Landed: North Texas 45, Tulsa 44. Tulsa covered the closing line (Tulsa +3). The move toward North Texas was right. 89 points, over the closing total of 56.5.

North Texas Mean Green 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Tulsa Golden Hurricane 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Tulsa lineTulsa Golden Hurricane spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Tulsa.
−3−2−1PK+1+2+3Opening line−2.5Reaction to last week's gameMon 3:55 AM+1.5Market move, no reported newsWed 7:55 PM+4Closing line+3
−2PK+2Opening line−2.5Reaction to last week's gameMon 3:55 AM+1.5Market move, no reported newsWed 7:55 PM+4Closing line+3

Final: North Texas 45, Tulsa 44. Tulsa beat the closing number by 2.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−2.5
Reaction to last week's gameMon Sep 28, 3:55 AM ET+1.5
Market move, no reported newsWed Sep 30, 7:55 PM ET+4
Closing line+3
What moved the Tulsa moneylineTulsa Golden Hurricane moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Tulsa.
+122−100−122Opening line−124Reaction to last week's gameMon 3:55 AM−108Market move, no reported newsWed 7:55 PM+129Closing line+130
+122−100−122Opening line−124Reaction to last week's gameMon 3:55 AM−108Market move, no reported newsWed 7:55 PM+129Closing line+130
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line55.3% (−124)
Reaction to last week's gameMon Sep 28, 3:55 AM ET52.0% (−108)
Market move, no reported newsWed Sep 30, 7:55 PM ET43.6% (+129)
Closing line43.4% (+130)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
565758Opening line56.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM+1Market move, no reported newsThu 9:55 AM−1Closing line56.5
565758Opening line56.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM+1Market move, no reported newsThu 9:55 AM−1Closing line56.5

Final: 89 points, over the closing total of 56.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line56.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 27, 11:55 AM ET+1
Market move, no reported newsThu Oct 1, 9:55 AM ET-1
Closing line56.5

Every Book · Tulsa side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus+3 −113+1202.20 43.4%56.5Thu 7:55 PM
DraftKings+3 −118+1202.20 43.7%56.5Thu 7:55 PM
FanDuel+2.5 −105+1182.18 43.9%56.5Thu 7:55 PM
BetMGM+2.5 −108+1202.20 43.4%56.5Thu 7:55 PM
Caesars+3 −118+1212.21 43.0%56.5Thu 7:55 PM
Fanatics+3 −115+1202.20 43.4%56.5Thu 7:55 PM
BetRivers+2.5 −113+1142.14 44.4%56.5Thu 7:55 PM
BetOnline+2.5 +102+1232.23 43.2%56.5Thu 7:55 PM
Bovada+3 −115+1202.20 43.8%56Thu 7:55 PM
LowVig+2.5 +106+1232.23 43.2%56.5Thu 7:55 PM
MyBookie+3 −110+1262.26 42.1%56Thu 7:55 PM
BetUS+3 −115+1252.25 42.9%56Thu 7:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.