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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 5 · Early Edition

College football · Week 5 · Saturday, October 3, 3:30 PM ET · Final Old Dominion 10, Georgia State 42

Old Dominion at Georgia State

Georgia State +2.5 at our first look, −2.5 at kickoff. Sun Belt game.

Conditions · Center Parc Stadium: At kickoff: 84°F, wind 8 mph, rain.

The read at kickoff

News: Old Dominion 0.0 · Georgia State 0.0. Market: moved 5 toward Georgia State.

Landed: Old Dominion 10, Georgia State 42. Georgia State covered the closing line (Georgia State −2.5). The move toward Georgia State was right. 52 points, over the closing total of 51.5.

Old Dominion Monarchs 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Georgia State Panthers 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Georgia State lineGeorgia State Panthers spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Georgia State.
−3−2−1PK+1+2+3Opening line+2.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM−1.5Market move, no reported newsMon 11:55 AM−3.5Closing line−2.5
−2PK+2Opening line+2.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM−1.5Market move, no reported newsMon 11:55 AM−3.5Closing line−2.5

Final: Old Dominion 10, Georgia State 42. Georgia State beat the closing number by 29.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line+2.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 27, 11:55 AM ET-1.5
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 28, 11:55 AM ET-3.5
Closing line−2.5
What moved the Georgia State moneylineGeorgia State Panthers moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Georgia State.
+117+108−100−108−117−127−138Opening line+113Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM−101Market move, no reported newsMon 11:55 AM−133Less than the spread implies−124Closing line−124
+117+108−100−108−117−127−138Opening line+113Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM−101Market move, no reported newsMon 11:55 AM−133Less than the spread implies−124Closing line−124
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line46.9% (+113)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 27, 11:55 AM ET50.2% (−101)
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 28, 11:55 AM ET57.1% (−133)
Less than the spread implies55.3% (−124)
Closing line55.3% (−124)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
505152Opening line51.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM−1Market move, no reported newsMon 1:55 PM+1Closing line51.5
505152Opening line51.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM−1Market move, no reported newsMon 1:55 PM+1Closing line51.5

Final: 52 points, over the closing total of 51.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line51.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 27, 11:55 AM ET-1
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 28, 1:55 PM ET+1
Closing line51.5

Every Book · Georgia State side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−2.5 −110−1351.74 55.3%51.5Sat 1:55 PM
DraftKings−2.5 −112−1351.74 55.1%51.5Sat 1:55 PM
FanDuel−2.5 −110−1341.75 54.8%51.5Sat 1:55 PM
BetMGM−2.5 −110−1301.77 54.3%51.5Sat 1:55 PM
Caesars+1 −113−1061.94 49.3%50.5Mon 7:55 AM
Fanatics−2.5 −110−1401.71 55.6%51.5Sat 1:55 PM
BetRivers−2.5 −117−1481.68 56.5%51.5Sat 1:55 PM
BetOnline−2.5 −112−1351.74 55.3%51.5Sat 1:55 PM
Bovada−2.5 −115−1351.74 55.3%51.5Sat 1:55 PM
LowVig−2.5 −108−1351.74 55.3%51.5Sat 1:55 PM
MyBookie−2.5 −110−1361.74 54.9%51.5Sat 1:55 PM
BetUS−2.5 −110−1351.74 55.3%51.5Sat 1:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.