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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 5 · Early Edition

College football · Week 5 · Saturday, October 3, 6:00 PM ET · Final Oregon State 56, Colorado State 26

Oregon State at Colorado State

Colorado State +4.5 at our first look, +7 at kickoff. Pac-12 game.

Conditions · Canvas Stadium: At kickoff: 81°F, wind 13 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Oregon State 0.0 · Colorado State 0.0. Market: moved 2.5 toward Oregon State.

Landed: Oregon State 56, Colorado State 26. Oregon State covered the closing line (Colorado State +7). The move toward Oregon State was right. 82 points, over the closing total of 61.

Oregon State Beavers 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Colorado State Rams 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Colorado State lineColorado State Rams spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Colorado State.
+4+5+6+7Opening line+4.5Reaction to last week's gameMon 11:55 AM+1Market move, no reported newsMon 5:55 PM+1.5Closing line+7
+4+5+6+7Opening line+4.5Reaction to last week's gameMon 11:55 AM+1Market move, no reported newsMon 5:55 PM+1.5Closing line+7

Final: Oregon State 56, Colorado State 26. Colorado State missed the closing number by 23.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line+4.5
Reaction to last week's gameMon Sep 28, 11:55 AM ET+1
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 28, 5:55 PM ET+1.5
Closing line+7
What moved the Colorado State moneylineColorado State Rams moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Colorado State.
+285+257+233+212+194+178Opening line+176Reaction to last week's gameMon 11:55 AM+209Market move, no reported newsMon 5:55 PM+280Less than the spread implies+223Closing line+223
+285+257+233+212+194+178Opening line+176Reaction to last week's gameMon 11:55 AM+209Market move, no reported newsMon 5:55 PM+280Less than the spread implies+223Closing line+223
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line36.2% (+176)
Reaction to last week's gameMon Sep 28, 11:55 AM ET32.4% (+209)
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 28, 5:55 PM ET26.3% (+280)
Less than the spread implies31.0% (+223)
Closing line31.0% (+223)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
58596061Opening line58.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM+2.5Closing line61
58596061Opening line58.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM+2.5Closing line61

Final: 82 points, over the closing total of 61.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line58.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 27, 11:55 AM ET+2.5
Closing line61

Every Book · Colorado State side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus+7 −110+2103.10 31.0%61Sat 5:55 PM
DraftKings+7 −112+2103.10 30.9%60.5Sat 5:55 PM
FanDuel+6.5 −106+1952.95 32.4%61.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetMGM+7 −115+2003.00 32.2%61.5Sat 5:55 PM
Caesars+4.5 −110+1572.57 37.3%60.5Mon 7:55 AM
Fanatics+7 −110+2103.10 30.9%61Sat 5:55 PM
BetRivers+7 −109+2203.20 29.7%61.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetOnline+7 −110+2073.07 31.3%61Sat 5:55 PM
Bovada+7 −110+2203.20 30.0%61Sat 5:55 PM
LowVig+7 −106+2073.07 31.3%61Sat 5:55 PM
MyBookie+7 −120+2123.12 30.5%61Sat 5:55 PM
BetUS+7 −110+2103.10 31.1%61Sat 5:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.