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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 5 · Early Edition

College football · Week 5 · Saturday, October 3, 12:00 PM ET · Final Stanford 3, Wake Forest 57

Stanford at Wake Forest

Wake Forest −12.5 at our first look, −14.5 at kickoff. ACC game.

Conditions · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium: At kickoff: 67°F, wind 11 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Stanford 0.0 · Wake Forest 0.0. Market: moved 2 toward Wake Forest.

Landed: Stanford 3, Wake Forest 57. Wake Forest covered the closing line (Wake Forest −14.5). The move toward Wake Forest was right. 60 points, over the closing total of 54.

Stanford Cardinal 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Wake Forest lineWake Forest Demon Deacons spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Wake Forest.
−15−14−13−12Opening line−12.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 5:55 PM−0.5Market move, no reported newsTue 1:55 PM−1.5Closing line−14.5
−15−14−13−12Opening line−12.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 5:55 PM−0.5Market move, no reported newsTue 1:55 PM−1.5Closing line−14.5

Final: Stanford 3, Wake Forest 57. Wake Forest beat the closing number by 39.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−12.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 27, 5:55 PM ET-0.5
Market move, no reported newsTue Sep 29, 1:55 PM ET-1.5
Closing line−14.5
What moved the Wake Forest moneylineWake Forest Demon Deacons moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Wake Forest.
−376−400−426−456−488Opening line−385Reaction to last week's gameSun 5:55 PM−421Market move, no reported newsTue 1:55 PM−449Price-only move−495Closing line−495
−376−400−426−456−488Opening line−385Reaction to last week's gameSun 5:55 PM−421Market move, no reported newsTue 1:55 PM−449Price-only move−495Closing line−495
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line79.4% (−385)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 27, 5:55 PM ET80.8% (−421)
Market move, no reported newsTue Sep 29, 1:55 PM ET81.8% (−449)
Price-only move83.2% (−495)
Closing line83.2% (−495)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
535455Opening line54.5Reaction to last week's gameMon 3:55 AM−1Market move, no reported newsSat 9:55 AM+0.5Closing line54
535455Opening line54.5Reaction to last week's gameMon 3:55 AM−1Market move, no reported newsSat 9:55 AM+0.5Closing line54

Final: 60 points, over the closing total of 54.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line54.5
Reaction to last week's gameMon Sep 28, 3:55 AM ET-1
Market move, no reported newsSat Oct 3, 9:55 AM ET+0.5
Closing line54

Every Book · Wake Forest side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−14.5 −110−6501.15 83.2%54Sat 11:55 AM
DraftKings−14.5 −112−6501.15 83.2%54.5Sat 11:55 AM
FanDuel−14.5 −110−6901.14 83.5%54.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetMGM−14.5 −108−6501.15 83.9%54.5Sat 11:55 AM
Caesars−13 −108−5301.19 80.8%53.5Mon 7:55 AM
Fanatics−14.5 −110−6501.15 83.3%54Sat 11:55 AM
BetRivers−14.5 −113−7151.14 83.5%53.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetOnline−14.5 −109−6251.16 82.9%53.5Sat 11:55 AM
Bovada−14.5 −110−6751.15 83.0%54Sat 11:55 AM
LowVig−14.5 −105−6251.16 82.9%53.5Sat 11:55 AM
MyBookie−15 −110−6991.14 83.3%53.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetUS−14.5 −110−6251.16 83.0%54.5Sat 11:55 AM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.