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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 5 · Early Edition

College football · Week 5 · Saturday, October 3, 12:00 PM ET · Final Syracuse 42, UConn 41

Syracuse at UConn

UConn +7.5 at our first look, +6.5 at kickoff. ACC vs. FBS Independents.

Conditions · Pratt & Whitney Stadium: At kickoff: 68°F, wind 8 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Syracuse 0.0 · UConn 0.0. Market: moved 1 toward UConn.

Landed: Syracuse 42, UConn 41. UConn covered the closing line (UConn +6.5). The move toward UConn was right. 83 points, over the closing total of 51.5.

Syracuse Orange 0.0

No news that moves the number.

UConn Huskies 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the UConn lineUConn Huskies spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against UConn.
+5+6+7+8Opening line+7.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM−2Market move, no reported newsMon 11:55 AM+1Closing line+6.5
+5+6+7+8Opening line+7.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM−2Market move, no reported newsMon 11:55 AM+1Closing line+6.5

Final: Syracuse 42, UConn 41. UConn beat the closing number by 5.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line+7.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 27, 11:55 AM ET-2
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 28, 11:55 AM ET+1
Closing line+6.5
What moved the UConn moneylineUConn Huskies moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward UConn.
+257+233+212+194+178Opening line+250Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM+175Market move, no reported newsMon 11:55 AM+214Less than the spread implies+228Closing line+228
+257+233+212+194+178Opening line+250Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM+175Market move, no reported newsMon 11:55 AM+214Less than the spread implies+228Closing line+228
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line28.6% (+250)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 27, 11:55 AM ET36.3% (+175)
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 28, 11:55 AM ET31.8% (+214)
Less than the spread implies30.5% (+228)
Closing line30.5% (+228)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
515253Opening line52.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 5:55 PM−0.5Market move, no reported newsMon 5:55 PM−0.5Closing line51.5
515253Opening line52.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 5:55 PM−0.5Market move, no reported newsMon 5:55 PM−0.5Closing line51.5

Final: 83 points, over the closing total of 51.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line52.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 27, 5:55 PM ET-0.5
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 28, 5:55 PM ET-0.5
Closing line51.5

Every Book · UConn side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus+6.5 −105+2143.13 30.5%51.5Sat 11:55 AM
DraftKings+6.5 −105+2153.15 30.4%51.5Sat 11:55 AM
FanDuel+6.5 −104+2023.02 31.7%51.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetMGM+6.5 −105+2103.10 31.1%51.5Sat 11:55 AM
Caesars+5.5 −113+1872.87 33.3%51.5Mon 7:55 AM
Fanatics+7 −115+2103.10 30.9%51.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetRivers+6.5 −107+2153.15 30.2%51.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetOnline+6.5 −103+2113.11 30.9%51.5Sat 11:55 AM
Bovada+7 −120+2153.15 30.5%51.5Sat 11:55 AM
LowVig+6.5 +101+2153.15 30.5%51.5Sat 11:55 AM
MyBookie+7 −115+2123.12 30.5%51.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetUS+6.5 −105+2183.18 30.3%51.5Sat 11:55 AM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.