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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 5 · Early Edition

College football · Week 5 · Saturday, October 3, 7:30 PM ET · Final Texas Tech 29, Colorado 7

11Texas Tech at Colorado

Colorado +15.5 at our first look, +13.5 at kickoff. Big 12 game.

Conditions · Folsom Field: At kickoff: 80°F, wind 12 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Texas Tech 0.0 · Colorado 0.0. Market: moved 2 toward Colorado.

Landed: Texas Tech 29, Colorado 7. Texas Tech covered the closing line (Colorado +13.5). The move toward Colorado was wrong. 36 points, under the closing total of 49.5.

Texas Tech Red Raiders 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Colorado Buffaloes 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Colorado lineColorado Buffaloes spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Colorado.
+13+14+15+16Opening line+15.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM−2Closing line+13.5
+13+14+15+16Opening line+15.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM−2Closing line+13.5

Final: Texas Tech 29, Colorado 7. Colorado missed the closing number by 8.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line+15.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 27, 11:55 AM ET-2
Closing line+13.5
What moved the Colorado moneylineColorado Buffaloes moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Colorado.
+567+525+488+456Opening line+537Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM+517Price-only move+468Closing line+468
+567+525+488+456Opening line+537Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM+517Price-only move+468Closing line+468
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line15.7% (+537)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 27, 11:55 AM ET16.2% (+517)
Price-only move17.6% (+468)
Closing line17.6% (+468)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
49505152Opening line51.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 PM−1Market move, no reported newsFri 5:55 PM−1Closing line49.5
49505152Opening line51.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:55 PM−1Market move, no reported newsFri 5:55 PM−1Closing line49.5

Final: 36 points, under the closing total of 49.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line51.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 27, 1:55 PM ET-1
Market move, no reported newsFri Oct 2, 5:55 PM ET-1
Closing line49.5

Every Book · Colorado side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus+13.5 −109+4405.40 17.6%49.5Sat 5:55 PM
DraftKings+13.5 −105+4405.40 17.8%49.5Sat 5:55 PM
FanDuel+13.5 +100+4505.50 17.4%50.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetMGM+14 −120+4505.50 17.5%49.5Sat 5:55 PM
Caesars+13.5 −109+4255.25 18.2%49.5Sat 5:55 PM
Fanatics+13.5 −105+4405.40 17.8%49.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetRivers+14 −114+4405.40 17.5%50Sat 5:55 PM
BetOnline+13.5 −107+4465.46 17.6%49.5Sat 5:55 PM
Bovada+14 −115+4305.30 18.0%49.5Sat 5:55 PM
LowVig+13.5 −103+4465.46 17.6%49.5Sat 5:55 PM
MyBookie+13.5 −110+4205.20 18.3%49Sat 5:55 PM
BetUS+13.5 −110+4505.50 17.5%49.5Sat 5:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.