58 games on the board
Every FBS game · every book

The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 5 · Early Edition

College football · Week 5 · Saturday, October 3, 12:00 PM ET · Final UCF 17, Houston 27

UCF at 22Houston

Houston −10.5 at our first look, −10.5 at kickoff. Big 12 game.

Conditions · TDECU Stadium: At kickoff: 86°F, wind 10 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: UCF 0.0 · Houston 0.0. Market: line unchanged.

Landed: UCF 17, Houston 27. UCF covered the closing line (Houston −10.5). 44 points, under the closing total of 50.

UCF Knights 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Houston Cougars 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Houston lineHouston Cougars spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Houston.
−12−11−10Opening line−10.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:55 PM−1Market move, no reported newsMon 11:55 AM+1Closing line−10.5
−12−11−10Opening line−10.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:55 PM−1Market move, no reported newsMon 11:55 AM+1Closing line−10.5

Final: UCF 17, Houston 27. Houston missed the closing number by 0.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−10.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 27, 3:55 PM ET-1
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 28, 11:55 AM ET+1
Closing line−10.5
What moved the Houston moneylineHouston Cougars moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Houston.
−317−335−355−376−400Opening line−348Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:55 PM−398Market move, no reported newsMon 11:55 AM−348Price-only move−324Closing line−324
−317−335−355−376−400Opening line−348Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:55 PM−398Market move, no reported newsMon 11:55 AM−348Price-only move−324Closing line−324
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line77.7% (−348)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 27, 3:55 PM ET79.9% (−398)
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 28, 11:55 AM ET77.7% (−348)
Price-only move76.4% (−324)
Closing line76.4% (−324)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
505152Opening line50.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM+1Market move, no reported newsFri 3:55 AM−1.5Closing line50
505152Opening line50.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:55 AM+1Market move, no reported newsFri 3:55 AM−1.5Closing line50

Final: 44 points, under the closing total of 50.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line50.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 27, 11:55 AM ET+1
Market move, no reported newsFri Oct 2, 3:55 AM ET-1.5
Closing line50

Every Book · Houston side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−10.5 −107−4101.24 76.4%50Sat 11:55 AM
DraftKings−10.5 −105−4251.24 77.7%50.5Sat 11:55 AM
FanDuel−10.5 −106−4101.24 76.9%50.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetMGM−10.5 −105−3751.27 76.4%50.5Sat 11:55 AM
Caesars−10.5 −107−4001.25 76.4%49.5Sat 11:55 AM
Fanatics−10.5 −105−4251.24 77.5%50.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetRivers−10.5 −112−4201.24 75.9%50.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetOnline−10.5 −107−3851.26 76.3%49.5Sat 11:55 AM
Bovada−10 −110−4151.24 76.8%50Sat 11:55 AM
LowVig−10.5 +103−3851.26 76.3%49.5Sat 11:55 AM
MyBookie−10.5 −110−4291.23 77.3%50Sat 11:55 AM
BetUS−10 −110−3851.26 76.4%50Sat 11:55 AM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.