58 games on the board
Every FBS game · every book

The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 5 · Early Edition

College football · Week 5 · Saturday, October 3, 7:30 PM ET · Final Washington 21, USC 25

Washington at 19USC

USC −10 at our first look, −7.5 at kickoff. Big Ten game.

Conditions · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum: At kickoff: 98°F, wind 11 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Washington 0.0 · USC 0.0. Market: moved 2.5 toward Washington.

Landed: Washington 21, USC 25. Washington covered the closing line (USC −7.5). The move toward Washington was right. 46 points, under the closing total of 58.

Washington Huskies 0.0

No news that moves the number.

USC Trojans 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the USC lineUSC Trojans spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against USC.
−10−9−8−7Opening line−10Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM+0.5Market move, no reported newsThu 5:55 PM+2Closing line−7.5
−10−9−8−7Opening line−10Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM+0.5Market move, no reported newsThu 5:55 PM+2Closing line−7.5

Final: Washington 21, USC 25. USC missed the closing number by 3.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−10
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 27, 9:55 AM ET+0.5
Market move, no reported newsThu Oct 1, 5:55 PM ET+2
Closing line−7.5
What moved the USC moneylineUSC Trojans moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward USC.
−213−233−257−285Opening line−302Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM−286Market move, no reported newsThu 5:55 PM−215Less than the spread implies−265Closing line−265
−213−233−257−285Opening line−302Reaction to last week's gameSun 9:55 AM−286Market move, no reported newsThu 5:55 PM−215Less than the spread implies−265Closing line−265
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line75.1% (−302)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 27, 9:55 AM ET74.1% (−286)
Market move, no reported newsThu Oct 1, 5:55 PM ET68.3% (−215)
Less than the spread implies72.6% (−265)
Closing line72.6% (−265)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
5758Opening line57.5Market move, no reported newsTue 11:55 AM+0.5Closing line58
5758Opening line57.5Market move, no reported newsTue 11:55 AM+0.5Closing line58

Final: 46 points, under the closing total of 58.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line57.5
Market move, no reported newsTue Sep 29, 11:55 AM ET+0.5
Closing line58

Every Book · USC side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−7.5 −105−3101.32 72.6%58Sat 5:55 PM
DraftKings−7.5 −105−3251.31 73.4%58.5Sat 5:55 PM
FanDuel−7.5 −106−3101.32 72.3%57.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetMGM−7.5 −102−3001.33 72.4%57.5Sat 5:55 PM
Caesars−7.5 −107−3201.31 72.7%58Sat 5:55 PM
Fanatics−7.5 −105−3101.32 72.6%57.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetRivers−7.5 −113−3451.29 73.6%58Sat 5:55 PM
BetOnline−7.5 −105−3051.33 72.4%58Sat 5:55 PM
Bovada−7.5 −105−3301.30 73.7%57.5Sat 5:55 PM
LowVig−7.5 −101−3051.33 72.4%58Sat 5:55 PM
MyBookie−7.5 −110−3001.33 71.5%58Sat 5:55 PM
BetUS−7.5 −110−3051.33 72.7%57.5Sat 5:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.