58 games on the board
Every FBS game · every book

The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 5 · Early Edition

College football · Week 5 · Thursday, October 1, 8:00 PM ET · Final Western Kentucky 13, New Mexico State 34

Western Kentucky at New Mexico State

New Mexico State −1.5 at our first look, −2 at kickoff. Conference USA game.

Conditions · Aggie Memorial Stadium: At kickoff: 76°F, wind 8 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Western Kentucky 0.0 · New Mexico State 0.0. Market: moved 0.5 toward New Mexico State.

Landed: Western Kentucky 13, New Mexico State 34. New Mexico State covered the closing line (New Mexico State −2). The move toward New Mexico State was right. 47 points, under the closing total of 55.5.

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 0.0

No news that moves the number.

New Mexico State Aggies 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the New Mexico State lineNew Mexico State Aggies spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against New Mexico State.
−2−1Opening line−1.5Reaction to last week's gameMon 3:55 AM−0.5Closing line−2
−2−1Opening line−1.5Reaction to last week's gameMon 3:55 AM−0.5Closing line−2

Final: Western Kentucky 13, New Mexico State 34. New Mexico State beat the closing number by 19.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−1.5
Reaction to last week's gameMon Sep 28, 3:55 AM ET-0.5
Closing line−2
What moved the New Mexico State moneylineNew Mexico State Aggies moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward New Mexico State.
−108−113−117Opening line−109Reaction to last week's gameMon 3:55 AM−114Closing line−114
−108−113−117Opening line−109Reaction to last week's gameMon 3:55 AM−114Closing line−114
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line52.2% (−109)
Reaction to last week's gameMon Sep 28, 3:55 AM ET53.2% (−114)
Closing line53.3% (−114)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
53545556Opening line53Reaction to last week's gameSun 7:55 PM+1.5Market move, no reported newsMon 1:55 PM+1Closing line55.5
53545556Opening line53Reaction to last week's gameSun 7:55 PM+1.5Market move, no reported newsMon 1:55 PM+1Closing line55.5

Final: 47 points, under the closing total of 55.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line53
Reaction to last week's gameSun Sep 27, 7:55 PM ET+1.5
Market move, no reported newsMon Sep 28, 1:55 PM ET+1
Closing line55.5

Every Book · New Mexico State side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−2 −110−1251.80 53.3%55.5Thu 7:55 PM
DraftKings−1.5 −115−1251.80 53.2%55.5Thu 7:55 PM
FanDuel−2.5 −106−1261.79 53.3%55.5Thu 7:55 PM
BetMGM−2 −110−1251.80 53.2%55.5Thu 7:55 PM
Caesars−2 −110−1251.80 53.4%55.5Thu 7:55 PM
Fanatics−2 −110−1251.80 53.2%56Thu 7:55 PM
BetRivers−2 −109−1321.76 54.0%55.5Thu 7:55 PM
BetOnline−2 −110−1301.77 54.3%55.5Thu 7:55 PM
Bovada−1.5 −105−1201.83 52.2%56Thu 7:55 PM
LowVig−2 −106−1301.77 54.3%55.5Thu 7:55 PM
MyBookie−2 −110−1291.78 53.7%56Thu 7:55 PM
BetUS−2 −110−1251.80 53.2%55.5Thu 7:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.