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The Sharp Edition
The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Sunday, October 25, 2026 Week 7 · Late Edition

College football · Week 7 · Wednesday, October 14, 7:30 PM ET · Final Kennesaw State 21, Missouri State 24

Kennesaw State at Missouri State

Missouri State +5.5 at our first look, +2.5 at kickoff. Conference USA game. Team pages: Kennesaw State · Missouri State

Conditions · Plaster Sports Complex: Forecast 71°F, wind 5 mph, 14% chance of rain. At kickoff: 71°F, wind 5 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Kennesaw State 0.0 · Missouri State 0.0. Market: moved 3 toward Missouri State.

Landed: Kennesaw State 21, Missouri State 24. Missouri State covered the closing line (Missouri State +2.5). The move toward Missouri State was right. 45 points, under the closing total of 53.

Kennesaw State Owls 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Missouri State Bears 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Missouri State lineMissouri State Bears spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Missouri State.
+2+3+4+5+6Opening line+5.5Market move, no reported newsSat 9:52 PM−3Closing line+2.5
+2+3+4+5+6Opening line+5.5Market move, no reported newsSat 9:52 PM−3Closing line+2.5

Final: Kennesaw State 21, Missouri State 24. Missouri State beat the closing number by 5.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line+5.5
Market move, no reported newsSat Oct 10, 9:52 PM ET-3
Closing line+2.5
What moved the Missouri State moneylineMissouri State Bears moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Missouri State.
+186+150+122Opening line+188Market move, no reported newsSat 9:52 PM+112Less than the spread implies+129Closing line+129
+186+150+122Opening line+188Market move, no reported newsSat 9:52 PM+112Less than the spread implies+129Closing line+129
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line34.7% (+188)
Market move, no reported newsSat Oct 10, 9:52 PM ET47.2% (+112)
Less than the spread implies43.6% (+129)
Closing line43.6% (+129)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
50515253Opening line50.5Market move, no reported newsSun 3:23 PM+2.5Closing line53
50515253Opening line50.5Market move, no reported newsSun 3:23 PM+2.5Closing line53

Final: 45 points, under the closing total of 53.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line50.5
Market move, no reported newsSun Oct 11, 3:23 PM ET+2.5
Closing line53

Every Book · Missouri State side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus+2.5 −107+1202.20 43.6%53Wed 7:28 PM
DraftKings+2.5 −108+1142.14 44.9%52.5Wed 7:28 PM
FanDuel+2.5 −106+1142.14 44.7%52.5Wed 7:28 PM
BetMGM+2.5 −105+1202.20 43.4%52.5Wed 7:28 PM
Caesars+2.5 −108+1202.20 43.7%53Wed 7:28 PM
Fanatics+3 −105+1352.35 40.9%51.5Mon 4:23 PM
BetRivers+2.5 −110+1122.12 44.8%52.5Wed 7:28 PM
BetOnline+2.5 −105+1222.22 43.4%53Wed 7:28 PM
Bovada+3 −120+1252.25 42.9%53Wed 7:28 PM
LowVig+2.5 +106+1222.22 43.4%53Wed 7:28 PM
MyBookie+2.5 −110+1142.14 44.6%53Wed 7:28 PM
BetUS+2.5 −105+1252.25 42.9%53Wed 7:28 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.