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Sunday, October 25, 2026 Week 7 · Late Edition

College football · Week 7 · Saturday, October 17, 7:00 PM ET · Final Kent State 2, South Florida 29

Kent State at South Florida

South Florida −18 at our first look, −20.5 at kickoff. Mid-American vs. American Athletic. Team pages: Kent State · South Florida

Conditions · Raymond James Stadium: Forecast 70°F, wind 10 mph (gusts 27), 3% chance of rain. At kickoff: 71°F, wind 9 mph (gusts 26), dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Kent State 0.0 · South Florida 0.0. Market: moved 2.5 toward South Florida.

Landed: Kent State 2, South Florida 29. South Florida covered the closing line (South Florida −20.5). The move toward South Florida was right. 31 points, under the closing total of 46.

Kent State Golden Flashes 0.0

No news that moves the number.

South Florida Bulls 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the South Florida lineSouth Florida Bulls spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against South Florida.
−21−20−19−18Opening line−18Reaction to last week's gameSun 4:59 PM−2.5Closing line−20.5
−21−20−19−18Opening line−18Reaction to last week's gameSun 4:59 PM−2.5Closing line−20.5

Final: Kent State 2, South Florida 29. South Florida beat the closing number by 6.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−18
Reaction to last week's gameSun Oct 11, 4:59 PM ET-2.5
Closing line−20.5
What moved the South Florida moneylineSouth Florida Bulls moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward South Florida.
−669−733−809−900−1011Opening line−706Reaction to last week's gameSun 4:59 PM−706Price-only move−931Closing line−931
−669−733−809−900−1011Opening line−706Reaction to last week's gameSun 4:59 PM−706Price-only move−931Closing line−931
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line87.6% (−706)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Oct 11, 4:59 PM ET87.6% (−706)
Price-only move90.3% (−931)
Closing line90.3% (−931)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
46474849Opening line48.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:55 PM−2Market move, no reported newsMon 11:09 AM−0.5Closing line46
46474849Opening line48.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:55 PM−2Market move, no reported newsMon 11:09 AM−0.5Closing line46

Final: 31 points, under the closing total of 46.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line48.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Oct 11, 3:55 PM ET-2
Market move, no reported newsMon Oct 12, 11:09 AM ET-0.5
Closing line46

Notes

MarketSat Oct 17, 1:32 PM · South Florida

Total rises 1.5 for Kent State at South Florida with no reported news

The consensus total on Kent State at South Florida has moved from 45 to 46.5, with 10 of 10 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.

Every Book · South Florida side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−20.5 −110−15501.06 90.3%46Sat 6:57 PM
DraftKings−20.5 −110−14501.07 89.9%46.5Sat 6:57 PM
FanDuel−20.5 −110−20001.05 91.1%45.5Sat 6:57 PM
BetMGM−20.5 −108−14001.07 90.7%46.5Sat 6:57 PM
Caesars−20.5 −114−14501.07 89.9%45.5Sat 6:57 PM
Fanatics−20.5 −115−14001.07 89.9%46Mon 4:23 PM
BetRivers−21 −113−33351.03 92.1%46.5Sat 6:57 PM
BetOnline−20.5 −110−15501.06 90.3%45.5Sat 6:57 PM
Bovada−20.5 −115−13001.08 88.5%46Sat 6:57 PM
LowVig−20.5 −106−15501.06 90.3%45.5Sat 6:57 PM
MyBookie−20.5 −110−16951.06 89.9%46Sat 6:57 PM
BetUS−20.5 −110−16001.06 90.4%46.5Sat 6:57 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.