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Sunday, October 25, 2026 Week 7 · Late Edition

College football · Week 7 · Saturday, October 17, 3:30 PM ET · Final Missouri 3, Ole Miss 31

22Missouri at 7Ole Miss

Ole Miss −7.5 at our first look, −4 at kickoff. SEC game. Team pages: Missouri · Ole Miss

Conditions · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium: Forecast 64°F, wind 15 mph, 0% chance of rain. At kickoff: 66°F, wind 14 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Missouri −2.0 · Ole Miss 0.0 → favors Ole Miss by 2.0. Market: moved 3.5 toward Missouri. Never priced in

Landed: Missouri 3, Ole Miss 31. Ole Miss covered the closing line (Ole Miss −4). The move toward Missouri was wrong. 34 points, under the closing total of 57.5.

Missouri Tigers −2.0

QB Austin Simmons
Yahoo Sports, Wed 9:43 PM: Questionable		 Questionable−2.0

Ole Miss Rebels 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Ole Miss lineOle Miss Rebels spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Ole Miss.
−8−7−6−5−4Opening line−7.5Market move, no reported newsThu 3:17 PM+1.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 12:15 PM+0.5Ole Miss to play Missouri withoutstarting safety Edwin JosephWed 7:32 PMmarket moved 2h before the report+0.5Ole Miss RB Lacy sidelined bylower-body injury vs. MissouriSat 11:08 AMmarket moved 5h before the report+1Closing line−4
−8−7−6−5−4Opening line−7.5Market move, no reported newsThu 3:17 PM+1.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 12:15 PM+0.5Ole Miss to play Missouri without startingsafety Edwin JosephWed 7:32 PM · market moved 2h before the report+0.5Ole Miss RB Lacy sidelined by lower-bodyinjury vs. MissouriSat 11:08 AM · market moved 5h before the report+1Closing line−4

Final: Missouri 3, Ole Miss 31. Ole Miss beat the closing number by 24.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−7.5
Market move, no reported newsThu Oct 8, 3:17 PM ET+1.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Oct 11, 12:15 PM ET+0.5
Ole Miss to play Missouri without starting safety Edwin JosephWed Oct 14, 7:32 PM ET+0.5
Ole Miss RB Lacy sidelined by lower-body injury vs. MissouriSat Oct 17, 11:08 AM ET+1
Closing line−4
What moved the Ole Miss moneylineOle Miss Rebels moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Ole Miss.
−150−186−233Opening line−234Market move, no reported newsThu 3:17 PM−187Reaction to last week's gameSun 12:15 PM−166Ole Miss to play Missouri withoutstarting safety Edwin JosephWed 7:32 PMmarket moved 2h before the report−154Ole Miss RB Lacy sidelined bylower-body injury vs. MissouriSat 11:08 AMmarket moved 5h before the report−140Less than the spread implies−165Closing line−165
−150−186−233Opening line−234Market move, no reported newsThu 3:17 PM−187Reaction to last week's gameSun 12:15 PM−166Ole Miss to play Missouri without startingsafety Edwin JosephWed 7:32 PM · market moved 2h before the report−154Ole Miss RB Lacy sidelined by lower-bodyinjury vs. MissouriSat 11:08 AM · market moved 5h before the report−140Less than the spread implies−165Closing line−165
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line70.1% (−234)
Market move, no reported newsThu Oct 8, 3:17 PM ET65.1% (−187)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Oct 11, 12:15 PM ET62.4% (−166)
Ole Miss to play Missouri without starting safety Edwin JosephWed Oct 14, 7:32 PM ET60.6% (−154)
Ole Miss RB Lacy sidelined by lower-body injury vs. MissouriSat Oct 17, 11:08 AM ET58.4% (−140)
Less than the spread implies62.3% (−165)
Closing line62.3% (−165)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
55565758Opening line57.5Market move, no reported newsTue 5:08 PM−2Reaction to last week's gameSat 9:41 PM+2Closing line57.5
55565758Opening line57.5Market move, no reported newsTue 5:08 PM−2Reaction to last week's gameSat 9:41 PM+2Closing line57.5

Final: 34 points, under the closing total of 57.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line57.5
Market move, no reported newsTue Oct 6, 5:08 PM ET-2
Reaction to last week's gameSat Oct 10, 9:41 PM ET+2
Closing line57.5

Notes

InjurySat Oct 17, 4:38 PM · Ole Miss

Ole Miss RB Lacy sidelined by lower-body injury vs. Missouri

Ole Miss running back Kewan Lacy is dealing with a lower body injury and has not had his helmet on during the game against Missouri. He was seen moving gingerly in warmups and visiting the medical tent, leaving his availability in doubt. On3

MarketSat Oct 17, 10:59 AM · Ole Miss

Line moves 1 toward Missouri with no reported news

The consensus spread on Missouri at Ole Miss has moved from −5 to −4 (home side), with 9 of 10 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.

MarketFri Oct 16, 6:56 PM · Ole Miss

Line moves 1.5 toward Missouri with no reported news

The consensus spread on Missouri at Ole Miss has moved from −5.5 to −4 (home side), with 10 of 10 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.

InjuryFri Oct 16, 5:02 PM · Missouri

Missouri expects linebacker Woodyard available at Ole Miss

Missouri linebacker Robert Woodyard Jr. is reported to be available for Saturday's game at Ole Miss. His presence steadies the Tigers' front seven against the Rebels. Saturday Down South

InjuryWed Oct 14, 9:43 PM · Missouri

Missouri's injury list swells to 24 before Ole Miss game

Missouri placed a season-high 24 players on its midweek availability report, including quarterback Austin Simmons, lineman Cayden Green, linebacker Robert Woodyard, Santana Banner and tight end Brett Norfleet. Simmons' status is the key question for the Ole Miss matchup. Yahoo Sports

InjuryWed Oct 14, 9:18 PM · Ole Miss

Ole Miss to play Missouri without starting safety Edwin Joseph

Ole Miss will be missing starting safety Edwin Joseph when it hosts Missouri on Saturday, and his absence could stretch beyond that game. The Rebels will need a replacement in the secondary against a ranked Missouri offense. On3

MarketSat Oct 10, 9:41 PM · Ole Miss

Line moves 1 toward Ole Miss after last week's results

The consensus spread on Missouri at Ole Miss has moved from −6.5 to −7.5 (home side). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

Every Book · Ole Miss side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−4 −110−1851.54 62.3%57.5Sat 3:29 PM
DraftKings−4 −108−1801.56 61.6%57.5Sat 3:29 PM
FanDuel−4.5 −104−1761.57 61.1%58.5Sat 3:29 PM
BetMGM−4 −108−1851.54 61.9%57.5Sat 3:29 PM
Caesars−4 −112−1801.56 61.2%57.5Sat 3:29 PM
Fanatics−4 −110−1901.53 62.6%57Sat 3:29 PM
BetRivers−4.5 −109−2101.48 63.8%58Sat 3:29 PM
BetOnline−4 −110−1851.54 62.9%57Sat 3:29 PM
Bovada−4 −115−1801.56 62.1%57.5Sat 3:29 PM
MyBookie−4 −110−1951.51 62.9%58Sat 3:29 PM
BetUS−4 −110−1851.54 62.7%57.5Sat 3:29 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.