College football · Week 7 · Saturday, October 17, 3:30 PM ET · Final North Carolina 24, Duke 20
North Carolina at Duke
Duke −4.5 at our first look, −3 at kickoff. ACC game. Team pages: North Carolina · Duke
Conditions · Wallace Wade Stadium: Forecast 54°F, wind 12 mph (gusts 26), 13% chance of rain. At kickoff: 57°F, wind 13 mph (gusts 26), dry.
The read at kickoff
News: North Carolina 0.0 · Duke 0.0. Market: moved 1.5 toward North Carolina.
Landed: North Carolina 24, Duke 20. North Carolina covered the closing line (Duke −3). The move toward North Carolina was right. 44 points, under the closing total of 46.5.
North Carolina Tar Heels 0.0
No news that moves the number.
Duke Blue Devils 0.0
No news that moves the number.
Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.
Line Movement
Final: North Carolina 24, Duke 20. Duke missed the closing number by 7.
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | −4.5 | |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Oct 11, 12:00 AM ET | +1 |
| Duke puts two offensive starters in doubt for North Carolina game | Wed Oct 14, 8:35 PM ET | +0.5 |
| Closing line | −3 |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 63.1% (−171) | |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Oct 11, 12:00 AM ET | 61.0% (−156) |
| Duke puts two offensive starters in doubt for North Carolina game | Wed Oct 14, 8:35 PM ET | 56.0% (−127) |
| Less than the spread implies | 58.3% (−140) | |
| Closing line | 58.3% (−140) |
Final: 44 points, under the closing total of 46.5.
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 48.5 | |
| Market move, no reported news | Wed Oct 7, 8:32 PM ET | -3 |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Oct 11, 12:00 AM ET | +1 |
| Closing line | 46.5 |
Notes
Duke puts two offensive starters in doubt for North Carolina game
Duke's first availability report for Saturday lists two key offensive starters as questionable against North Carolina. Their status could shape how the Blue Devils move the ball in the rivalry game. On3
Every Book · Duke side
| Book | Spread | Price | Moneyline | Decimal | Win % (no-vig) | Total | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | −3 | −110 | −154 | 1.65 | 58.3% | 46.5 | Sat 3:29 PM |
| DraftKings | −3 | −108 | −155 | 1.65 | 58.3% | 46.5 | Sat 3:29 PM |
| FanDuel | −2.5 | −122 | −150 | 1.67 | 57.6% | 46.5 | Sat 3:29 PM |
| BetMGM | −3 | −108 | −160 | 1.62 | 58.6% | 46.5 | Sat 3:29 PM |
| Caesars | −3 | −109 | −154 | 1.65 | 58.3% | 47 | Sat 3:29 PM |
| Fanatics | −3 | −115 | −160 | 1.62 | 59.1% | 47.5 | Mon 4:23 PM |
| BetRivers | −3 | −110 | −157 | 1.64 | 57.9% | 46.5 | Sat 3:29 PM |
| BetOnline | −3 | −110 | −153 | 1.65 | 58.5% | 47 | Sat 3:29 PM |
| Bovada | −3 | −105 | −150 | 1.67 | 58.0% | 47 | Sat 3:29 PM |
| LowVig | −3 | −106 | −153 | 1.65 | 58.5% | 47 | Sat 3:29 PM |
| MyBookie | −3 | −110 | −158 | 1.63 | 58.4% | 46.5 | Sat 3:29 PM |
| BetUS | −3 | −110 | −150 | 1.67 | 57.9% | 47 | Sat 3:29 PM |
College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.