College football · Week 7 · Friday, October 16, 8:00 PM ET · Final Washington 38, Purdue 26
Washington at Purdue
Purdue −1.5 at our first look, −3 at kickoff. Big Ten game. Team pages: Washington · Purdue
Conditions · Ross-Ade Stadium: Forecast 51°F, wind 15 mph (gusts 33), 49% chance of rain. At kickoff: 51°F, wind 15 mph (gusts 37), dry. The wind came in under the forecast (15 mph, not 15).
The read at kickoff
News: Washington −3.5 · Purdue 0.0 → favors Purdue by 3.5. Market: moved 1.5 toward Purdue. Partly priced in
Landed: Washington 38, Purdue 26. Washington covered the closing line (Purdue −3). The move toward Purdue was wrong. 64 points, over the closing total of 50.5.
Washington Huskies −3.5
| QB Demond Williams Jr ESPN, Mon 8:14 PM: Doubtful |
Doubtful | −2.9 |
| QB Elijah Brown ESPN, Fri 3:18 PM: Named starter (for Demond Williams Jr) |
Named starter | −0.6 |
Purdue Boilermakers 0.0
No news that moves the number.
Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.
Line Movement
Final: Washington 38, Purdue 26. Purdue missed the closing number by 15.
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | −1.5 | |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Oct 11, 3:39 AM ET | -1.5 |
| Washington QB Williams in doubt at Purdue with rib injury | Mon Oct 12, 4:23 PM ET | -0.5 |
| Market move, no reported news | Fri Oct 16, 12:33 PM ET | +0.5 |
| Closing line | −3 |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 51.0% (−104) | |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Oct 11, 3:39 AM ET | 54.8% (−121) |
| Washington QB Williams in doubt at Purdue with rib injury | Mon Oct 12, 4:23 PM ET | 59.8% (−149) |
| Market move, no reported news | Fri Oct 16, 12:33 PM ET | 54.8% (−121) |
| Price-only move | 59.3% (−146) | |
| Closing line | 59.3% (−146) |
Final: 64 points, over the closing total of 50.5.
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 53.5 | |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Oct 11, 2:05 AM ET | -1 |
| Market move, no reported news | Tue Oct 13, 10:08 AM ET | -2 |
| Closing line | 50.5 |
Notes
Backup Brown to Start for Washington as Williams Nurses Rib Injury
Washington will start quarterback Elijah Brown at Purdue because Demond Williams Jr. is dealing with a rib injury suffered against Iowa. The change puts an inexperienced passer under center for the Huskies. ESPN
Washington Short Five Running Backs at Purdue
Washington will be without five running backs for its trip to Purdue after freshman Ansu Sanoe was added to the injury list. The depleted backfield thins the Huskies' ground game for Saturday. Yahoo Sports
Total drops 1.5 for Washington at Purdue with no reported news
The consensus total on Washington at Purdue has moved from 52 to 50.5, with 1 of 10 books moving the same way. Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.
Washington QB Williams in doubt at Purdue with rib injury
Washington coach Jedd Fisch said quarterback Demond Williams Jr., hurt in the loss to Iowa, is unlikely to play at Purdue, though a decision will wait until later in the week. Losing the starting quarterback would force the Huskies to a backup on the road. ESPN
Every Book · Purdue side
| Book | Spread | Price | Moneyline | Decimal | Win % (no-vig) | Total | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | −3 | −110 | −159 | 1.63 | 59.3% | 50.5 | Fri 7:57 PM |
| DraftKings | −3 | −112 | −155 | 1.65 | 58.3% | 50.5 | Fri 7:57 PM |
| FanDuel | −3.5 | −104 | −166 | 1.60 | 59.8% | 50.5 | Fri 7:57 PM |
| BetMGM | −3 | −115 | −160 | 1.62 | 59.1% | 50.5 | Fri 7:57 PM |
| Caesars | −3 | −110 | −159 | 1.63 | 59.0% | 50.5 | Fri 7:57 PM |
| Fanatics | −3.5 | −105 | −170 | 1.59 | 60.2% | 52.5 | Mon 4:23 PM |
| BetRivers | −3 | −115 | −175 | 1.57 | 59.7% | 50 | Fri 7:57 PM |
| BetOnline | −3 | −113 | −159 | 1.63 | 59.5% | 50 | Fri 7:57 PM |
| Bovada | −3 | −110 | −150 | 1.67 | 58.0% | 50.5 | Fri 7:57 PM |
| LowVig | −3 | −109 | −159 | 1.63 | 59.5% | 50 | Fri 7:57 PM |
| MyBookie | −3 | −110 | −166 | 1.60 | 59.5% | 50.5 | Fri 7:57 PM |
| BetUS | −3 | −110 | −150 | 1.67 | 57.9% | 50.5 | Fri 7:57 PM |
College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.