College football · Week 8 · Saturday, October 24, 3:30 PM ET · Final BYU 31, UCF 39
2BYU at UCF
UCF +9.5 at our first look, +7.5 at kickoff. Big 12 game. Team pages: BYU · UCF
Conditions · FBC Mortgage Stadium: Forecast 78°F, wind 15 mph, 19% chance of rain. At kickoff: 78°F, wind 16 mph, dry. A wind game: 16 mph at kickoff.
The read at kickoff
News: BYU 0.0 · UCF −2.4 → favors BYU by 2.4. Market: moved 2 toward UCF. Never priced in
Landed: BYU 31, UCF 39. UCF covered the closing line (UCF +7.5). The move toward UCF was right. 70 points, over the closing total of 44.
BYU Cougars 0.0
No news that moves the number.
UCF Knights −2.4
| QB Alonza Barnett III Yahoo Sports, Tue 1:17 PM: Out |
Out | −2.4 |
Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.
Line Movement
Final: BYU 31, UCF 39. UCF beat the closing number by 15.5.
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | +9.5 | |
| Market move, no reported news | Thu Oct 15, 1:20 PM ET | -1 |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Oct 18, 10:36 AM ET | -1 |
| Closing line | +7.5 |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 24.3% (+312) | |
| Market move, no reported news | Thu Oct 15, 1:20 PM ET | 27.0% (+270) |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Oct 18, 10:36 AM ET | 30.1% (+232) |
| Less than the spread implies | 27.9% (+258) | |
| Closing line | 27.9% (+258) |
Final: 70 points, over the closing total of 44.
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 45.5 | |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Oct 18, 4:04 PM ET | -2 |
| Market move, no reported news | Sat Oct 24, 2:38 PM ET | +0.5 |
| Closing line | 44 |
Notes
UCF without running back Swint for BYU game
UCF will be missing running back Taevion Swint against BYU, thinning its backfield. Duke Watson is expected to carry the bulk of the rushing load against a strong BYU defense. Yahoo Sports
BYU running back Moa off injury list ahead of UCF trip
Sione Moa was left off BYU's initial injury report for the game at UCF, indicating he is available after missing time. His return adds depth to the Cougars' running game. Yahoo Sports
UCF to be without starting QB Barnett again versus BYU
UCF quarterback Alonza Barnett III is not expected to start Saturday against BYU in Orlando as he continues to deal with an injury. The Knights will again turn to a backup against the No. 2 Cougars. Yahoo Sports
Total drops 1.5 for BYU at UCF after last week's results
The consensus total on BYU at UCF has moved from 45.5 to 44. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
Total drops 3 for BYU at UCF after last week's results
The consensus total on BYU at UCF has moved from 46.5 to 43.5, with 7 of 7 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
Line moves 1 toward UCF after last week's results
The consensus spread on BYU at UCF has moved from +7.5 to +6.5 (home side). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
Line moves 1 toward UCF with no reported news
The consensus spread on BYU at UCF has moved from +8.5 to +7.5 (home side), with 1 of 1 books moving the same way. Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.
Every Book · UCF side
| Book | Spread | Price | Moneyline | Decimal | Win % (no-vig) | Total | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | +7.5 | −110 | +245 | 3.45 | 27.9% | 44 | Sat 3:26 PM |
| DraftKings | +7.5 | −112 | +245 | 3.45 | 27.8% | 43.5 | Sat 3:26 PM |
| FanDuel | +7.5 | −105 | +260 | 3.60 | 26.6% | 44.5 | Sat 3:26 PM |
| BetMGM | +7.5 | −108 | +240 | 3.40 | 28.2% | 43.5 | Sat 3:26 PM |
| Caesars | +7.5 | −110 | +245 | 3.45 | 27.7% | 44 | Sat 3:26 PM |
| Fanatics | +7.5 | −110 | +220 | 3.20 | 29.9% | 44 | Sat 3:26 PM |
| BetRivers | +7.5 | −113 | +260 | 3.60 | 26.4% | 43.5 | Sat 3:26 PM |
| BetOnline | +7.5 | −115 | +245 | 3.45 | 27.9% | 44 | Sat 3:26 PM |
| Bovada | +7.5 | −115 | +240 | 3.40 | 28.3% | 44 | Sat 3:26 PM |
| LowVig | +6.5 | +126 | +245 | 3.45 | 27.9% | 44 | Sat 3:26 PM |
| MyBookie | +7.5 | −110 | +248 | 3.48 | 27.3% | 44 | Sat 3:26 PM |
| BetUS | +7.5 | −110 | +240 | 3.40 | 28.3% | 44 | Sat 3:26 PM |
College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.