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Sunday, October 25, 2026 Week 8 · Late Edition

College football · Week 8 · Saturday, October 24, 12:00 PM ET · Final California 20, SMU 59

California at 23SMU

SMU −16.5 at our first look, −18.5 at kickoff. ACC game. Team pages: California · SMU

Conditions · Gerald J. Ford Stadium: Forecast 73°F, wind 6 mph, 0% chance of rain. At kickoff: 75°F, wind 7 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: California 0.0 · SMU 0.0. Market: moved 2 toward SMU.

Landed: California 20, SMU 59. SMU covered the closing line (SMU −18.5). The move toward SMU was right. 79 points, over the closing total of 55.5.

California Golden Bears 0.0

No news that moves the number.

SMU Mustangs 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the SMU lineSMU Mustangs spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against SMU.
−19−18−17−16Opening line−16.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:41 AM−2Closing line−18.5
−19−18−17−16Opening line−16.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:41 AM−2Closing line−18.5

Final: California 20, SMU 59. SMU beat the closing number by 20.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−16.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Oct 18, 3:41 AM ET-2
Closing line−18.5
What moved the SMU moneylineSMU Mustangs moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward SMU.
−614−669Opening line−619Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:41 AM−619Price-only move−681Closing line−681
−614−669Opening line−619Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:41 AM−619Price-only move−681Closing line−681
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line86.1% (−619)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Oct 18, 3:41 AM ET86.1% (−619)
Price-only move87.2% (−681)
Closing line87.2% (−681)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
53545556Opening line54.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 10:36 AM−1Market move, no reported newsTue 11:38 AM+2Closing line55.5
53545556Opening line54.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 10:36 AM−1Market move, no reported newsTue 11:38 AM+2Closing line55.5

Final: 79 points, over the closing total of 55.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line54.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Oct 18, 10:36 AM ET-1
Market move, no reported newsTue Oct 20, 11:38 AM ET+2
Closing line55.5

Notes

InjuryFri Oct 23, 9:42 PM · California

Cal Receiver Strong Upgraded, Three Others Slide Before SMU Trip

Cal listed wideout Ian Strong as probable for Saturday's game at SMU, while three other Bears receivers were downgraded. The shuffle thins Cal's passing-game depth heading into the matchup. Yahoo Sports

MarketFri Oct 23, 12:09 PM · Smu

Line moves 1 toward SMU with no reported news

The consensus spread on California at SMU has moved from −18.5 to −19.5 (home side). Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.

InjuryWed Oct 21, 10:02 PM · California

Cal Missing Top Two Backs at SMU, Line Banged Up

California will be without its top two running backs for Saturday's game at SMU. A starting receiver and two starting offensive linemen are listed as questionable, leaving the Bears' offense short-handed. Yahoo Sports

MarketMon Oct 19, 3:41 PM · Smu

Line moves 1.5 toward SMU with no reported news

The consensus spread on California at SMU has moved from −18.5 to −20 (home side), with 10 of 11 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.

MarketMon Oct 19, 8:47 AM · Smu

Line moves 1 toward California after last week's results

The consensus spread on California at SMU has moved from −19.5 to −18.5 (home side). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

MarketMon Oct 19, 3:36 AM · Smu

Line moves 1 toward SMU after last week's results

The consensus spread on California at SMU has moved from −18.5 to −19.5 (home side), with 1 of 10 books moving the same way. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

MarketSun Oct 18, 4:04 PM · Smu

Line moves 1.5 toward SMU after last week's results

The consensus spread on California at SMU has moved from −17.5 to −19 (home side). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

MarketSun Oct 18, 10:36 AM · Smu

Total drops 2 for California at SMU after last week's results

The consensus total on California at SMU has moved from 54.5 to 52.5, with 1 of 1 books moving the same way. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

MarketSun Oct 18, 3:41 AM · Smu

Line moves 2 toward SMU after last week's results

The consensus spread on California at SMU has moved from −16.5 to −18.5 (home side), with 1 of 1 books moving the same way. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

Every Book · SMU side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−18.5 −110−10251.10 87.2%55.5Sat 11:59 AM
DraftKings−18.5 −110−10501.10 87.6%55.5Sat 11:59 AM
FanDuel−18.5 −110−12501.08 88.6%55.5Sat 11:59 AM
BetMGM−18 −118−10001.10 87.9%55.5Sat 11:59 AM
Caesars−18.5 −114−12001.08 88.1%55.5Sat 11:59 AM
Fanatics−18.5 −110−9501.11 87.2%55.5Sat 11:59 AM
BetRivers−19 −110−12501.08 88.1%55.5Sat 11:58 AM
BetOnline−18.5 +102−9001.11 86.5%55Sat 11:59 AM
Bovada−18.5 −110−11001.09 87.3%55.5Sat 11:59 AM
LowVig−18.5 −102−9001.11 86.5%55Sat 11:59 AM
MyBookie−18.5 −110−10991.09 87.2%55Sat 11:59 AM
BetUS−18.5 −110−9001.11 86.3%56Sat 11:59 AM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.