College football · Week 8 · Friday, October 23, 7:00 PM ET · Final Duke 19, Virginia 16
Duke at Virginia
Virginia −2.5 at our first look, −2.5 at kickoff. ACC game. Team pages: Duke · Virginia
Conditions · Scott Stadium: Forecast 55°F, wind 4 mph, 0% chance of rain. At kickoff: 54°F, wind 5 mph, dry.
The read at kickoff
News: Duke 0.0 · Virginia 0.0. Market: line unchanged.
Landed: Duke 19, Virginia 16. Duke covered the closing line (Virginia −2.5). 35 points, under the closing total of 47.5.
Duke Blue Devils 0.0
No news that moves the number.
Virginia Cavaliers 0.0
No news that moves the number.
Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.
Line Movement
Final: Duke 19, Virginia 16. Virginia missed the closing number by 5.5.
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | −2.5 | |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Oct 18, 5:06 PM ET | +1 |
| Market move, no reported news | Thu Oct 22, 10:23 AM ET | -1 |
| Closing line | −2.5 |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 53.1% (−113) | |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Oct 18, 5:06 PM ET | 50.8% (−103) |
| Market move, no reported news | Thu Oct 22, 10:23 AM ET | 53.1% (−113) |
| Price-only move | 54.7% (−121) | |
| Closing line | 54.7% (−121) |
Final: 35 points, under the closing total of 47.5.
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 49.5 | |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Oct 18, 1:05 AM ET | -2.5 |
| Market move, no reported news | Mon Oct 19, 8:11 PM ET | +0.5 |
| Closing line | 47.5 |
Notes
Duke loses QB Eget to injury at Virginia, freshman Mahan takes over
Duke quarterback Walker Eget left the game at Virginia early with an injury, and freshman Dan Mahan replaced him under center. Duke leaned more heavily on the run game after the change, and Eget's status going forward is unclear. Yahoo Sports
Virginia secondary thinner as safety Minter sits against Duke
Virginia listed free safety Ethan Minter among 20 players unavailable for Friday's home game with Duke. The Cavaliers were already short-handed in the secondary, so Duke's passing game should see favorable matchups. Yahoo Sports
Duke's Robinson apologizes for sideline incident with staffer
Duke player Kimari Robinson issued an apology after swatting the arm of a female staff member who was tending to an injured teammate during the North Carolina game. No discipline or change to his availability has been announced for the Virginia trip. ESPN
Line moves 1 toward Duke after last week's results
The consensus spread on Duke at Virginia has moved from −2.5 to −1.5 (home side). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
Total drops 2.5 for Duke at Virginia after last week's results
The consensus total on Duke at Virginia has moved from 49.5 to 47. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
Every Book · Virginia side
| Book | Spread | Price | Moneyline | Decimal | Win % (no-vig) | Total | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | −2.5 | −110 | −134 | 1.75 | 54.7% | 47.5 | Fri 6:57 PM |
| DraftKings | −2.5 | −110 | −135 | 1.74 | 55.1% | 47.5 | Fri 6:57 PM |
| FanDuel | −2.5 | −110 | −134 | 1.75 | 54.8% | 47.5 | Fri 6:57 PM |
| BetMGM | −2.5 | −110 | −135 | 1.74 | 54.7% | 47.5 | Fri 6:57 PM |
| Caesars | −2.5 | −110 | −132 | 1.76 | 54.7% | 47.5 | Fri 6:57 PM |
| Fanatics | −2.5 | −110 | −130 | 1.77 | 54.3% | 47 | Fri 6:57 PM |
| BetRivers | −2.5 | −113 | −137 | 1.73 | 55.1% | 46.5 | Fri 6:57 PM |
| BetOnline | −2 | −110 | −131 | 1.76 | 54.5% | 47.5 | Fri 6:57 PM |
| Bovada | −2.5 | −110 | −135 | 1.74 | 55.3% | 47 | Fri 6:57 PM |
| LowVig | −2 | −106 | −131 | 1.76 | 54.5% | 47.5 | Fri 6:57 PM |
| MyBookie | −2.5 | −110 | −135 | 1.74 | 54.7% | 47 | Fri 6:57 PM |
| BetUS | −2 | −110 | −130 | 1.77 | 54.3% | 47 | Fri 6:57 PM |
College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.