College football · Week 8 · Saturday, October 24, 12:00 PM ET · Final Indiana 13, Michigan 6
6Indiana at Michigan
Michigan +6 at our first look, +7.5 at kickoff. Big Ten game. Team pages: Indiana · Michigan
Conditions · Michigan Stadium: Forecast 54°F, wind 4 mph, 0% chance of rain. At kickoff: 56°F, wind 5 mph, dry.
The read at kickoff
News: Indiana −0.6 · Michigan 0.0 → favors Michigan by 0.6. Market: moved 1.5 toward Indiana. Never priced in
Landed: Indiana 13, Michigan 6. Michigan covered the closing line (Michigan +7.5). The move toward Indiana was right. 19 points, under the closing total of 43.5.
Indiana Hoosiers −0.6
| QB Josh Hoover Yahoo Sports, Sat 11:34 AM: Expected to play |
Expected to play | −0.6 |
Michigan Wolverines 0.0
No news that moves the number.
Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.
Line Movement
Final: Indiana 13, Michigan 6. Michigan beat the closing number by 0.5.
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | +6 | |
| Market move, no reported news | Wed Oct 14, 6:09 PM ET | +3.5 |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Oct 18, 12:34 AM ET | -2.5 |
| Michigan adds Moore, Etta to injury list before Indiana | Fri Oct 23, 1:11 PM ET | +0.5 |
| Closing line | +7.5 |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 31.5% (+217) | |
| Market move, no reported news | Wed Oct 14, 6:09 PM ET | 19.9% (+403) |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Oct 18, 12:34 AM ET | 27.2% (+268) |
| Michigan adds Moore, Etta to injury list before Indiana | Fri Oct 23, 1:11 PM ET | 25.6% (+291) |
| Less than the spread implies | 28.3% (+253) | |
| Closing line | 28.3% (+253) |
Final: 19 points, under the closing total of 43.5.
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 52.5 | |
| Market move, no reported news | Wed Oct 14, 6:09 PM ET | -8 |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Oct 18, 12:34 AM ET | -1 |
| Closing line | 43.5 |
Notes
Indiana QB Hoover to play at Michigan with hurt arm
Indiana quarterback Josh Hoover is reported to be playing through an arm injury sustained against Ohio State when the Hoosiers visit Michigan. He is expected to start but may be limited, which matters for Indiana's passing game. Yahoo Sports
Freshman Carr set for first Michigan start against Indiana
Michigan will start freshman quarterback Tommy Carr against Indiana on Saturday, his first career start. A first-time starter at quarterback against a top-10 defense is a significant change for the Wolverines' offense. ESPN
Michigan adds Moore, Etta to injury list before Indiana
Safety Rod Moore and lineman Enow Etta are newly listed as banged up for Michigan ahead of Saturday's game with Indiana. The additions raise questions about the Wolverines' secondary and line depth against a strong Hoosiers offense. Yahoo Sports
Michigan turns to Carr at quarterback, benches Underwood for Indiana
Michigan is reportedly starting Tommy Carr at quarterback against Indiana, benching Bryce Underwood after a rough six-game stretch. A quarterback change for the 4-2 Wolverines reshapes the matchup with Indiana. On3
Michigan keeps QB choice open for Indiana clash
Michigan's head coach declined to say whether Tommy Carr or Bryce Underwood will start at quarterback against Indiana. Carr replaced Underwood at halftime of the Penn State game, leaving the job unsettled heading into Saturday. Yahoo Sports
Line moves 1.5 toward Michigan after last week's results
The consensus spread on Indiana at Michigan has moved from +8.5 to +7 (home side), with 2 of 3 books moving the same way. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
Total drops 2 for Indiana at Michigan after last week's results
The consensus total on Indiana at Michigan has moved from 43.5 to 41.5, with 1 of 1 books moving the same way. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
Line moves 2.5 toward Michigan after last week's results
The consensus spread on Indiana at Michigan has moved from +9.5 to +7 (home side). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
Line moves 1 toward Indiana ahead of the news
The consensus spread on Indiana at Michigan has moved from +8.5 to +9.5 (home side), with 0 of 1 books moving the same way. The market started moving 1h 39m before the report: Michigan down eight players for Penn State game.
Total drops 2 for Indiana at Michigan with no reported news
The consensus total on Indiana at Michigan has moved from 44.5 to 42.5, with 0 of 1 books moving the same way. Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.
Line moves 1 toward Michigan with no reported news
The consensus spread on Indiana at Michigan has moved from +9.5 to +8.5 (home side), with 1 of 1 books moving the same way. Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.
Every Book · Michigan side
| Book | Spread | Price | Moneyline | Decimal | Win % (no-vig) | Total | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | +7.5 | −110 | +240 | 3.40 | 28.3% | 43.5 | Sat 11:59 AM |
| DraftKings | +7.5 | −120 | +240 | 3.40 | 28.2% | 43.5 | Sat 11:59 AM |
| FanDuel | +7.5 | −120 | +230 | 3.30 | 29.0% | 43.5 | Sat 11:59 AM |
| BetMGM | +7 | −105 | +240 | 3.40 | 28.3% | 43.5 | Sat 11:59 AM |
| Caesars | +7.5 | −117 | +240 | 3.40 | 28.3% | 43.5 | Sat 11:59 AM |
| Fanatics | +7 | −105 | +240 | 3.40 | 28.2% | 43.5 | Sat 11:59 AM |
| BetRivers | +8 | −115 | +260 | 3.60 | 26.4% | 43.5 | Sat 11:59 AM |
| BetOnline | +6.5 | +105 | +249 | 3.49 | 27.6% | 43.5 | Sat 11:59 AM |
| Bovada | +7.5 | −120 | +240 | 3.40 | 28.3% | 43 | Sat 11:59 AM |
| LowVig | +6.5 | +109 | +237 | 3.37 | 28.5% | 43.5 | Sat 11:59 AM |
| MyBookie | +7.5 | −110 | +236 | 3.36 | 28.4% | 42.5 | Sat 11:59 AM |
| BetUS | +7 | −105 | +249 | 3.49 | 27.7% | 43.5 | Sat 11:59 AM |
College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.