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The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Sunday, October 25, 2026 Week 8 · Late Edition

College football · Week 8 · Saturday, October 24, 7:30 PM ET · Final Iowa State 3, Arizona 39

Iowa State at 25Arizona

Arizona −10 at our first look, −11.5 at kickoff. Big 12 game. Team pages: Iowa State · Arizona

Conditions · Arizona Stadium: Forecast 75°F, wind 11 mph, 2% chance of rain. At kickoff: 76°F, wind 9 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Iowa State 0.0 · Arizona 0.0. Market: moved 1.5 toward Arizona.

Landed: Iowa State 3, Arizona 39. Arizona covered the closing line (Arizona −11.5). The move toward Arizona was right. 42 points, under the closing total of 51.5.

Iowa State Cyclones 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Arizona Wildcats 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Arizona lineArizona Wildcats spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Arizona.
−12−11−10Opening line−10Market move, no reported newsSat 12:01 PM−1.5Closing line−11.5
−12−11−10Opening line−10Market move, no reported newsSat 12:01 PM−1.5Closing line−11.5

Final: Iowa State 3, Arizona 39. Arizona beat the closing number by 24.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−10
Market move, no reported newsSat Oct 17, 12:01 PM ET-1.5
Closing line−11.5
What moved the Arizona moneylineArizona Wildcats moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Arizona.
−317−335−355−376−400Opening line−327Market move, no reported newsSat 12:01 PM−383Less than the spread implies−315Closing line−315
−317−335−355−376−400Opening line−327Market move, no reported newsSat 12:01 PM−383Less than the spread implies−315Closing line−315
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line76.6% (−327)
Market move, no reported newsSat Oct 17, 12:01 PM ET79.3% (−383)
Less than the spread implies75.9% (−315)
Closing line75.9% (−315)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
505152Opening line50.5Market move, no reported newsThu 3:24 PM+1Closing line51.5
505152Opening line50.5Market move, no reported newsThu 3:24 PM+1Closing line51.5

Final: 42 points, under the closing total of 51.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line50.5
Market move, no reported newsThu Oct 15, 3:24 PM ET+1
Closing line51.5

Notes

MarketSat Oct 24, 1:15 PM · Arizona

Line moves 1 toward Arizona with no reported news

The consensus spread on Iowa State at Arizona has moved from −11 to −12 (home side), with 8 of 11 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.

MarketFri Oct 23, 6:56 PM · Arizona

Line moves 2 toward Arizona with no reported news

The consensus spread on Iowa State at Arizona has moved from −10 to −12 (home side), with 11 of 11 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.

MarketFri Oct 23, 5:08 PM · Arizona

Line moves 2.5 toward Arizona with no reported news

The consensus spread on Iowa State at Arizona has moved from −9.5 to −12 (home side), with 11 of 11 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.

MarketSun Oct 18, 6:09 PM · Arizona

Line moves 1 toward Iowa State with no reported news

The consensus spread on Iowa State at Arizona has moved from −11 to −10 (home side). Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.

MarketSun Oct 18, 5:37 PM · Arizona

Line moves 1.5 toward Iowa State with no reported news

The consensus spread on Iowa State at Arizona has moved from −11.5 to −10 (home side), with 6 of 7 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.

MarketSun Oct 18, 4:35 PM · Arizona

Line moves 1 toward Arizona with no reported news

The consensus spread on Iowa State at Arizona has moved from −10.5 to −11.5 (home side), with 0 of 7 books moving the same way. Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.

MarketSun Oct 18, 12:34 AM · Arizona

Line moves 1.5 toward Arizona with no reported news

The consensus spread on Iowa State at Arizona has moved from −9.5 to −11 (home side). Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.

Every Book · Arizona side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−11.5 −110−3801.26 75.9%51.5Sat 7:27 PM
DraftKings−11.5 −112−3751.27 75.7%51.5Sat 7:27 PM
FanDuel−11.5 −108−4201.24 77.2%51.5Sat 7:27 PM
BetMGM−11.5 −110−3751.27 75.9%51.5Sat 7:27 PM
Caesars−11.5 −109−3801.26 75.5%51.5Sat 7:27 PM
Fanatics−11.5 −110−3751.27 75.5%51.5Sat 7:27 PM
BetRivers−11.5 −113−4201.24 76.1%51Sat 7:27 PM
BetOnline−12 −110−3801.26 76.1%51.5Sat 7:27 PM
Bovada−11.5 −110−3501.29 74.5%51.5Sat 7:27 PM
LowVig−12 −106−3801.26 76.1%51.5Sat 7:27 PM
MyBookie−12.5 −110−4201.24 76.9%51Sat 7:27 PM
BetUS−12 −110−3751.27 75.9%51.5Sat 7:27 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.