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Sunday, October 25, 2026 Week 8 · Late Edition

College football · Week 8 · Saturday, October 24, 3:45 PM ET · Final Kansas State 17, Arizona State 28

Kansas State at Arizona State

Arizona State +2.5 at our first look, +1 at kickoff. Big 12 game. Team pages: Kansas State · Arizona State

Conditions · Mountain America Stadium: Forecast 77°F, wind 4 mph, 1% chance of rain. At kickoff: 76°F, wind 9 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Kansas State −5.2 · Arizona State 0.0 → favors Arizona State by 5.2. Market: moved 1.5 toward Arizona State. Partly priced in

Landed: Kansas State 17, Arizona State 28. Arizona State covered the closing line (Arizona State +1). The move toward Arizona State was right. 45 points, under the closing total of 51.5.

Kansas State Wildcats −5.2

QB Avery Johnson
On3, Sat 11:57 AM: Out
Out−5.2

Arizona State Sun Devils 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Arizona State lineArizona State Sun Devils spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Arizona State.
+1+2+3+4Opening line+2.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 7:48 AM+1Market move, no reported newsWed 10:30 PM−1Kansas State QB Avery Johnsonquestionable for Arizona StatetripFri 10:14 PM−1Avery Johnson ruled out; Knuthstarts for Kansas State at ArizonaStateSat 9:10 AMmarket moved 3h before the report−0.5Closing line+1
+1+2+3+4Opening line+2.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 7:48 AM+1Market move, no reported newsWed 10:30 PM−1Kansas State QB Avery Johnson questionable forArizona State tripFri 10:14 PM−1Avery Johnson ruled out; Knuth starts forKansas State at Arizona StateSat 9:10 AM · market moved 3h before the report−0.5Closing line+1

Final: Kansas State 17, Arizona State 28. Arizona State beat the closing number by 12.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line+2.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Oct 18, 7:48 AM ET+1
Market move, no reported newsWed Oct 21, 10:30 PM ET-1
Kansas State QB Avery Johnson questionable for Arizona State tripFri Oct 23, 10:14 PM ET-1
Avery Johnson ruled out; Knuth starts for Kansas State at Arizona StateSat Oct 24, 9:10 AM ET-0.5
Closing line+1
What moved the Arizona State moneylineArizona State Sun Devils moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Arizona State.
+150+138+127+117+108−100Opening line+117Reaction to last week's gameSun 7:48 AM+153Market move, no reported newsWed 10:30 PM+117Kansas State QB Avery Johnsonquestionable for Arizona StatetripFri 10:14 PM+107Avery Johnson ruled out; Knuthstarts for Kansas State at ArizonaStateSat 9:10 AMmarket moved 3h before the report+103Closing line+104
+150+138+127+117+108−100Opening line+117Reaction to last week's gameSun 7:48 AM+153Market move, no reported newsWed 10:30 PM+117Kansas State QB Avery Johnson questionable forArizona State tripFri 10:14 PM+107Avery Johnson ruled out; Knuth starts forKansas State at Arizona StateSat 9:10 AM · market moved 3h before the report+103Closing line+104
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line46.0% (+117)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Oct 18, 7:48 AM ET39.5% (+153)
Market move, no reported newsWed Oct 21, 10:30 PM ET46.0% (+117)
Kansas State QB Avery Johnson questionable for Arizona State tripFri Oct 23, 10:14 PM ET48.3% (+107)
Avery Johnson ruled out; Knuth starts for Kansas State at Arizona StateSat Oct 24, 9:10 AM ET49.3% (+103)
Closing line48.9% (+104)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
51525354555657Opening line54.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 5:14 AM+2Market move, no reported newsMon 10:21 AM−5Closing line51.5
525456Opening line54.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 5:14 AM+2Market move, no reported newsMon 10:21 AM−5Closing line51.5

Final: 45 points, under the closing total of 51.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line54.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Oct 18, 5:14 AM ET+2
Market move, no reported newsMon Oct 19, 10:21 AM ET-5
Closing line51.5

Notes

InjurySat Oct 24, 11:57 AM · Kansas State

Avery Johnson ruled out; Knuth starts for Kansas State at Arizona State

Kansas State quarterback Avery Johnson will not play Saturday at Arizona State, upgrading his earlier questionable tag to out. Backup Jacob Knuth is set to start in his place. On3

MarketFri Oct 23, 10:14 PM · Arizona State

Line moves 1.5 toward Arizona State with no reported news

The consensus spread on Kansas State at Arizona State has moved from +2.5 to +1 (home side), with 9 of 11 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.

MarketFri Oct 23, 9:16 PM · Arizona State

Total drops 4 for Kansas State at Arizona State with no reported news

The consensus total on Kansas State at Arizona State has moved from 55.5 to 51.5, with 11 of 11 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.

InjuryThu Oct 22, 11:47 AM · Kansas State

Kansas State QB Avery Johnson questionable for Arizona State trip

Kansas State quarterback Avery Johnson has been listed as questionable for Saturday's game at Arizona State. His status is a late addition to the team's injury listing and puts the starting quarterback spot in doubt. Yahoo Sports

MarketWed Oct 21, 10:30 PM · Arizona State

Line moves 1 toward Arizona State with no reported news

The consensus spread on Kansas State at Arizona State has moved from +3.5 to +2.5 (home side), with 10 of 10 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.

MarketSun Oct 18, 5:37 PM · Arizona State

Total drops 1.5 for Kansas State at Arizona State after last week's results

The consensus total on Kansas State at Arizona State has moved from 56.5 to 55, with 7 of 9 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

MarketSun Oct 18, 7:48 AM · Arizona State

Line moves 1 toward Kansas State after last week's results

The consensus spread on Kansas State at Arizona State has moved from +2.5 to +3.5 (home side), with 1 of 1 books moving the same way. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

Every Book · Arizona State side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus+1 −110−1051.95 48.9%51.5Sat 3:40 PM
DraftKings+1.5 −115−1021.98 48.3%51.5Sat 3:40 PM
FanDuel+1.5 −118−1081.93 49.7%51.5Sat 3:40 PM
BetMGM+1 −108−1051.95 48.9%51.5Sat 3:40 PM
Caesars+1 −113−1031.97 48.7%51.5Sat 3:40 PM
Fanatics+1 −110−1051.95 48.9%51.5Sat 3:40 PM
BetRivers+1 −112−1071.93 49.1%51.5Sat 3:40 PM
BetOnline+1 −110−1051.95 48.9%52.5Sat 3:40 PM
Bovada+1.5 −110+1002.00 47.8%51.5Sat 3:40 PM
LowVig+1 −106−1051.95 48.9%52.5Sat 3:40 PM
MyBookie+1 −110−1041.96 48.6%51.5Sat 3:40 PM
BetUS+1 −110+1002.00 47.8%52Sat 3:40 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.