College football · Week 8 · Saturday, October 24, 10:00 PM ET · Final North Dakota State 16, New Mexico 21
North Dakota State at 22New Mexico
New Mexico −3.5 at our first look, −4.5 at kickoff. Mountain West game. Team pages: North Dakota State · New Mexico
Conditions · University Stadium (NM): Forecast 61°F, wind 15 mph (gusts 26), 35% chance of rain. At kickoff: 60°F, wind 9 mph (gusts 17), dry. The wind came in under the forecast (9 mph, not 15).
The read at kickoff
News: North Dakota State 0.0 · New Mexico 0.0. Market: moved 1 toward New Mexico.
Landed: North Dakota State 16, New Mexico 21. New Mexico covered the closing line (New Mexico −4.5). The move toward New Mexico was right. 37 points, under the closing total of 39.5.
North Dakota State Bison 0.0
No news that moves the number.
New Mexico Lobos 0.0
No news that moves the number.
Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.
Line Movement
Final: North Dakota State 16, New Mexico 21. New Mexico beat the closing number by 0.5.
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | −3.5 | |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Oct 18, 1:52 PM ET | -1 |
| Closing line | −4.5 |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 60.4% (−153) | |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Oct 18, 1:52 PM ET | 62.5% (−167) |
| Price-only move | 63.4% (−173) | |
| Closing line | 63.4% (−173) |
Final: 37 points, under the closing total of 39.5.
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 46.5 | |
| Market move, no reported news | Sat Oct 17, 12:01 PM ET | -1 |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Oct 18, 3:33 PM ET | -6 |
| Closing line | 39.5 |
Notes
Total drops 3 for North Dakota State at New Mexico after last week's results
The consensus total on North Dakota State at New Mexico has moved from 44.5 to 41.5, with 6 of 6 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
Total drops 3 for North Dakota State at New Mexico after last week's results
The consensus total on North Dakota State at New Mexico has moved from 44.5 to 41.5, with 6 of 6 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
Total drops 4 for North Dakota State at New Mexico after last week's results
The consensus total on North Dakota State at New Mexico has moved from 45.5 to 41.5. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
Line moves 1 toward New Mexico after last week's results
The consensus spread on North Dakota State at New Mexico has moved from −3.5 to −4.5 (home side). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
Total drops 5 for North Dakota State at New Mexico after last week's results
The consensus total on North Dakota State at New Mexico has moved from 47.5 to 42.5. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
Line moves 1 toward North Dakota State with no reported news
The consensus spread on North Dakota State at New Mexico has moved from −4.5 to −3.5 (home side), with 0 of 1 books moving the same way. Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.
Every Book · New Mexico side
| Book | Spread | Price | Moneyline | Decimal | Win % (no-vig) | Total | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | −4.5 | −110 | −193 | 1.52 | 63.4% | 39.5 | Sat 9:59 PM |
| DraftKings | −4.5 | −112 | −192 | 1.52 | 63.1% | 39.5 | Sat 9:59 PM |
| FanDuel | −4.5 | −110 | −200 | 1.50 | 63.8% | 39.5 | Sat 9:59 PM |
| BetMGM | −4.5 | −110 | −200 | 1.50 | 63.4% | 39.5 | Sat 9:59 PM |
| Caesars | −4.5 | −112 | −193 | 1.52 | 63.1% | 39.5 | Sat 9:59 PM |
| Fanatics | −4.5 | −110 | −195 | 1.51 | 63.2% | 39 | Sat 9:59 PM |
| BetRivers | −4.5 | −113 | −200 | 1.50 | 63.4% | 38.5 | Sat 9:59 PM |
| BetOnline | −4.5 | −110 | −190 | 1.53 | 63.5% | 39 | Sat 9:59 PM |
| Bovada | −5 | −105 | −195 | 1.51 | 63.7% | 39.5 | Sat 9:59 PM |
| LowVig | −4.5 | −106 | −190 | 1.53 | 63.5% | 39 | Sat 9:59 PM |
| MyBookie | −4.5 | −110 | −193 | 1.52 | 62.8% | 39.5 | Sat 9:59 PM |
| BetUS | −4.5 | −110 | −190 | 1.53 | 63.3% | 39 | Sat 9:59 PM |
College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.