College football · Week 8 · Saturday, October 24, 7:30 PM ET · Final Ole Miss 27, Texas 34
7Ole Miss at 19Texas
Texas −8.5 at our first look, −3 at kickoff. SEC game. Team pages: Ole Miss · Texas
Conditions · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium: Forecast 84°F, wind 11 mph (gusts 20), 0% chance of rain. At kickoff: 83°F, wind 10 mph, dry.
The read at kickoff
News: Ole Miss 0.0 · Texas +4.1 → favors Texas by 4.1. Market: moved 5.5 toward Ole Miss. Never priced in
Landed: Ole Miss 27, Texas 34. Texas covered the closing line (Texas −3). The move toward Ole Miss was wrong. 61 points, over the closing total of 55.
Ole Miss Rebels 0.0
No news that moves the number.
Texas Longhorns +4.1
| QB Arch Manning CBS Sports, Fri 12:55 PM: Named starter (for K.J. Lacey) |
Named starter | +4.1 |
Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.
Line Movement
Final: Ole Miss 27, Texas 34. Texas beat the closing number by 4.
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | −8.5 | |
| Market move, no reported news | Wed Oct 14, 6:39 PM ET | +2 |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Oct 18, 2:08 AM ET | +3 |
| Simmons set to sit out Texas-Ole Miss with high ankle sprain | Tue Oct 20, 6:30 AM ET | +0.5 |
| Ole Miss quarterback Maddox arrested on domestic violence charge | Tue Oct 20, 8:35 PM ET | -0.5 |
| Texas pass rusher Colin Simmons out against Ole Miss | Fri Oct 23, 4:27 PM ET | +0.5 |
| Closing line | −3 |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 73.4% (−276) | |
| Market move, no reported news | Wed Oct 14, 6:39 PM ET | 67.4% (−207) |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Oct 18, 2:08 AM ET | 56.9% (−132) |
| Simmons set to sit out Texas-Ole Miss with high ankle sprain | Tue Oct 20, 6:30 AM ET | 51.9% (−108) |
| Ole Miss quarterback Maddox arrested on domestic violence charge | Tue Oct 20, 8:35 PM ET | 56.9% (−132) |
| Texas pass rusher Colin Simmons out against Ole Miss | Fri Oct 23, 4:27 PM ET | 51.9% (−108) |
| Less than the spread implies | 58.3% (−140) | |
| Closing line | 58.3% (−140) |
Final: 61 points, over the closing total of 55.
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 54.5 | |
| Market move, no reported news | Wed Oct 14, 6:39 PM ET | +1.5 |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Oct 18, 6:16 AM ET | -1 |
| Closing line | 55 |
Notes
Texas tackle Goosby joins Coleman on sideline against Ole Miss
Texas offensive lineman Trevor Goosby left the Ole Miss game with an injury, after receiver Cam Coleman had already exited hurt. Losing a starting tackle weakens pass protection for the rest of the game and clouds his status going forward. Saturday Down South
Ole Miss back Kewan Lacy hurt on hard tackle at Texas
Ole Miss running back Kewan Lacy was injured after being driven to the ground by several Texas defenders, with trainers examining his shoulder. Lacy has already missed time with injuries this season, and his absence would thin the Rebels' running game against Texas and into next week. On3
Texas receiver Cam Coleman exits Ole Miss game with shoulder injury
Cam Coleman left the Ole Miss game on the opening play of the second half after landing on his shoulder reaching for a pass. His absence thins the Texas receiving group for the rest of the game and could carry into next week against Mississippi State. On3
Ole Miss center Sanders cleared for Texas trip
Starting center Brycen Sanders is expected to play at Texas after a lower-body injury against Missouri. Left tackle Terez Davis was hurt in the same game and his status is less certain, leaving the Rebels' line partly in question against a strong Texas front. Yahoo Sports
Manning starts for Texas but Lacey takes first-team reps
Arch Manning will start at quarterback against Ole Miss, though backup K.J. Lacey has been working with the first team and could play if the offense stalls. A quick hook at quarterback would change how Texas runs its offense in a key SEC matchup. CBS Sports
Texas back Hollywood Smothers doubtful for Ole Miss
Texas running back Hollywood Smothers has been downgraded to doubtful ahead of Saturday's game with Ole Miss. His likely absence thins the Longhorns' backfield support around quarterback Arch Manning. Yahoo Sports
Texas pass rusher Colin Simmons out against Ole Miss
Texas edge rusher Colin Simmons has been ruled out for Saturday's game with Ole Miss after being downgraded on the team's second injury report. His absence thins an already banged-up Longhorns pass rush. Yahoo Sports
Ole Miss quarterback Maddox arrested on domestic violence charge
Ole Miss quarterback AJ Maddox was booked on a simple domestic violence charge early Tuesday, according to a local report. Any team discipline could affect his availability for the trip to Texas. On3
Simmons set to sit out Texas-Ole Miss with high ankle sprain
Texas pass rusher Colin Simmons is reportedly expected to miss the Ole Miss game after suffering a high ankle sprain. He leads the nation in sacks and the Longhorns have little other pass-rush production. CBS Sports
Texas boosts backup Lacey's first-team reps, Manning still set to start
A report says Texas will give redshirt freshman quarterback KJ Lacey Jr. more work with the first team in practice, though Arch Manning remains the expected starter against Ole Miss. It follows Texas losing two straight and the coaching staff reviewing the position. On3
Total drops 1.5 for Ole Miss at Texas after last week's results
The consensus total on Ole Miss at Texas has moved from 53.5 to 52, with 8 of 9 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
Total drops 3 for Ole Miss at Texas after last week's results
The consensus total on Ole Miss at Texas has moved from 55.5 to 52.5, with 4 of 4 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
Total drops 2 for Ole Miss at Texas after last week's results
The consensus total on Ole Miss at Texas has moved from 54.5 to 52.5, with 2 of 3 books moving the same way. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
Total rises 2 for Ole Miss at Texas after last week's results
The consensus total on Ole Miss at Texas has moved from 53.5 to 55.5, with 0 of 2 books moving the same way. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
Line moves 3 toward Ole Miss after last week's results
The consensus spread on Ole Miss at Texas has moved from −6.5 to −3.5 (home side). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
Sarkisian leaves Texas QB job open to review after second straight loss
Texas coach Steve Sarkisian said everything will be evaluated following a home loss to Florida, declining to commit to Arch Manning as the starting quarterback. That puts the Longhorns' quarterback situation in question heading into the Ole Miss game. On3
Every Book · Texas side
| Book | Spread | Price | Moneyline | Decimal | Win % (no-vig) | Total | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | −3 | −115 | −156 | 1.64 | 58.3% | 55 | Sat 7:27 PM |
| DraftKings | −3 | −118 | −155 | 1.65 | 58.3% | 55.5 | Sat 7:27 PM |
| FanDuel | −3.5 | +104 | −150 | 1.67 | 57.4% | 54.5 | Sat 7:27 PM |
| BetMGM | −3 | −112 | −155 | 1.65 | 58.3% | 54.5 | Sat 7:27 PM |
| Caesars | −3 | −115 | −159 | 1.63 | 59.0% | 55 | Sat 7:27 PM |
| Fanatics | −3 | −115 | −155 | 1.65 | 58.3% | 55 | Sat 7:27 PM |
| BetRivers | −3 | −115 | −157 | 1.64 | 57.7% | 54 | Sat 7:27 PM |
| BetOnline | −3 | −115 | −161 | 1.62 | 59.8% | 55 | Sat 7:27 PM |
| Bovada | −3 | −115 | −160 | 1.62 | 59.1% | 55 | Sat 7:27 PM |
| MyBookie | −3 | −110 | −150 | 1.67 | 57.0% | 55 | Sat 7:27 PM |
| BetUS | −3 | −115 | −160 | 1.62 | 59.4% | 55 | Sat 7:27 PM |
College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.