College football · Week 8 · Saturday, October 24, 3:00 PM ET · Final Oregon 10, Illinois 21
Oregon at Illinois
Illinois +14.5 at our first look, +10.5 at kickoff. Big Ten game. Team pages: Oregon · Illinois
Conditions · Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL): Forecast 71°F, wind 5 mph, 0% chance of rain. At kickoff: 72°F, wind 5 mph, dry.
The read at kickoff
News: Oregon −4.2 · Illinois −11.0 → favors Oregon by 1.3. Market: moved 4 toward Illinois. Never priced in
Landed: Oregon 10, Illinois 21. Illinois covered the closing line (Illinois +10.5). The move toward Illinois was right. 31 points, under the closing total of 49.
Oregon Ducks −4.2
| QB Dante Moore The Athletic, Wed 9:16 PM: Out |
Out | −4.2 |
Illinois Fighting Illini −11.0
| QB Michael Clayton II Yahoo Sports, Fri 12:52 PM: Named starter (for Katin Houser) |
Named starter | −5.5 |
| QB Katin Houser On3, Wed 1:36 PM: Out · before the line opened, so the opener already has it |
Out | −5.3 |
| QB Michael Clayton Yahoo Sports, Wed 4:19 PM: Named starter (for Houser) · before the line opened, so the opener already has it |
Named starter | −0.2 |
Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.
Line Movement
Final: Oregon 10, Illinois 21. Illinois beat the closing number by 21.5.
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | +14.5 | |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Oct 18, 4:13 AM ET | -4.5 |
| Oregon receiver Evan Stewart booked on DUII charge | Mon Oct 19, 6:12 AM ET | -1.5 |
| Freshman Clayton to start at QB for Illinois against Oregon | Tue Oct 20, 8:35 PM ET | +0.5 |
| Clayton set for first Illinois start with Houser sidelined by broken hand | Fri Oct 23, 12:40 PM ET | +1.5 |
| Closing line | +10.5 |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 17.1% (+485) | |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Oct 18, 4:13 AM ET | 24.9% (+302) |
| Oregon receiver Evan Stewart booked on DUII charge | Mon Oct 19, 6:12 AM ET | 28.8% (+247) |
| Freshman Clayton to start at QB for Illinois against Oregon | Tue Oct 20, 8:35 PM ET | 27.4% (+265) |
| Clayton set for first Illinois start with Houser sidelined by broken hand | Fri Oct 23, 12:40 PM ET | 24.5% (+308) |
| Less than the spread implies | 22.7% (+341) | |
| Closing line | 22.7% (+341) |
Final: 31 points, under the closing total of 49.
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 52.5 | |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Oct 18, 4:13 AM ET | -2 |
| Market move, no reported news | Thu Oct 22, 3:40 AM ET | -1.5 |
| Closing line | 49 |
Notes
Oregon missing four wide receivers for trip to Illinois
Oregon will be without four wide receivers for Saturday's game at Illinois. The depleted receiving corps further thins an offense already down starters. Yahoo Sports
Clayton set for first Illinois start with Houser sidelined by broken hand
Illinois starting quarterback Katin Houser broke his hand, and backup Michael Clayton II has been preparing to make his first career start. He is in line to take the snaps against Oregon. Yahoo Sports
Line moves 1 toward Oregon ahead of the news
The consensus spread on Oregon at Illinois has moved from +9 to +10 (home side), with 7 of 11 books moving the same way. The market started moving 0h 11m before the report: Clayton set for first Illinois start with Houser sidelined by broken hand.
Moore ruled out again, Oregon to start backup at Illinois
Oregon quarterback Dante Moore will not play at Illinois, missing a third consecutive game with a concussion sustained against USC on Sept. 27. The Ducks will again turn to a backup under center in a road conference game. The Athletic
Freshman Clayton to start at QB for Illinois against Oregon
Illinois will start freshman quarterback Michael Clayton II against Oregon on Saturday. He takes over for Katin Houser, who fractured his throwing hand. The change at the game's most important position weakens Illinois against a ranked opponent. Yahoo Sports
Moore's status uncertain as Illinois preps for two Oregon quarterbacks
Oregon quarterback Dante Moore remains questionable for Saturday's trip to Illinois, and Illinois coach Bret Bielema said his staff is preparing for more than one Ducks quarterback. Moore's availability would significantly change Oregon's offense in the matchup. Yahoo Sports
Line moves 1 toward Illinois after last week's results
The consensus spread on Oregon at Illinois has moved from +9.5 to +8.5 (home side), with 8 of 11 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
Oregon receiver Evan Stewart booked on DUII charge
Oregon wide receiver Evan Stewart was booked on a driving-under-the-influence charge Sunday morning and released about an hour later. He had not played in the Ducks' win over Nebraska, and the legal matter puts his availability for the Illinois game in doubt. On3
Line moves 1.5 toward Illinois ahead of the news
The consensus spread on Oregon at Illinois has moved from +10 to +8.5 (home side), with 11 of 11 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). The market started moving 1h 43m before the report: Oregon receiver Evan Stewart booked on DUII charge.
Line moves 2 toward Illinois ahead of the news
The consensus spread on Oregon at Illinois has moved from +10.5 to +8.5 (home side), with 11 of 11 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). The market started moving 10h 32m before the report: Oregon receiver Evan Stewart booked on DUII charge.
Line moves 2.5 toward Illinois after last week's results
The consensus spread on Oregon at Illinois has moved from +11 to +8.5 (home side), with 9 of 9 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
Line moves 3 toward Illinois after last week's results
The consensus spread on Oregon at Illinois has moved from +11.5 to +8.5 (home side), with 9 of 9 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
Line moves 3 toward Illinois after last week's results
The consensus spread on Oregon at Illinois has moved from +12.5 to +9.5 (home side), with 1 of 1 books moving the same way. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
Total drops 2 for Oregon at Illinois after last week's results
The consensus total on Oregon at Illinois has moved from 52.5 to 50.5, with 1 of 1 books moving the same way. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
Total drops 3 for Oregon at Illinois after last week's results
The consensus total on Oregon at Illinois has moved from 53.5 to 50.5, with 1 of 1 books moving the same way. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
Line moves 4 toward Illinois after last week's results
The consensus spread on Oregon at Illinois has moved from +13.5 to +9.5 (home side). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
Line moves 4.5 toward Illinois after last week's results
The consensus spread on Oregon at Illinois has moved from +14.5 to +10 (home side). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
Clayton to start at QB for Illinois with Houser sidelined
Illinois will turn to Michael Clayton as its starting quarterback after an injury to starter Houser. The change comes ahead of the Illini's home game against Oregon. Yahoo Sports
Illinois loses QB Houser for 4-6 weeks; freshman Clayton takes over
Illinois coach Bret Bielema said starting quarterback Katin Houser had surgery on a broken hand and will be sidelined four to six weeks. Freshman Michael Clayton II steps in as the starter beginning with the home game against Oregon. On3
Every Book · Illinois side
| Book | Spread | Price | Moneyline | Decimal | Win % (no-vig) | Total | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | +10.5 | −110 | +324 | 4.24 | 22.7% | 49 | Sat 2:59 PM |
| DraftKings | +10.5 | −110 | +320 | 4.20 | 22.8% | 49.5 | Sat 2:59 PM |
| FanDuel | +10.5 | −110 | +330 | 4.30 | 22.3% | 49.5 | Sat 2:59 PM |
| BetMGM | +10.5 | −108 | +333 | 4.33 | 22.2% | 48.5 | Sat 2:59 PM |
| Caesars | +10.5 | −113 | +325 | 4.25 | 22.6% | 48.5 | Sat 2:59 PM |
| Fanatics | +10.5 | −110 | +290 | 3.90 | 24.5% | 49 | Sat 2:59 PM |
| BetRivers | +10.5 | −110 | +310 | 4.10 | 22.9% | 50 | Sat 2:59 PM |
| BetOnline | +10.5 | −106 | +324 | 4.24 | 22.7% | 48.5 | Sat 2:59 PM |
| Bovada | +10.5 | −110 | +330 | 4.30 | 22.2% | 49 | Sat 2:59 PM |
| LowVig | +10.5 | −107 | +324 | 4.24 | 22.7% | 48.5 | Sat 2:59 PM |
| MyBookie | +10 | −110 | +305 | 4.05 | 23.5% | 49 | Sat 2:59 PM |
| BetUS | +10.5 | −110 | +330 | 4.30 | 22.4% | 49 | Sat 2:59 PM |
College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.