56 games on the board
Every FBS game · every book
The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Sunday, October 25, 2026 Week 8 · Late Edition

College football · Week 8 · Saturday, October 24, 12:00 PM ET · Final Pittsburgh 23, Miami 52

Pittsburgh at 1Miami

Miami −23.5 at our first look, −20.5 at kickoff. ACC game. Team pages: Pittsburgh · Miami

Conditions · Hard Rock Stadium: Forecast 81°F, wind 12 mph, 4% chance of rain. At kickoff: 82°F, wind 12 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Pittsburgh −5.2 · Miami 0.0 → favors Miami by 5.2. Market: moved 3 toward Pittsburgh. Never priced in

Landed: Pittsburgh 23, Miami 52. Miami covered the closing line (Miami −20.5). The move toward Pittsburgh was wrong. 75 points, over the closing total of 50.5.

Pittsburgh Panthers −5.2

QB Mason Heintschel
Yahoo Sports, Fri 6:00 AM: Out for season
Out for season−5.2

Miami Hurricanes 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Miami lineMiami Hurricanes spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Miami.
−24−23−22−21−20Opening line−23.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 12:34 AM+3Market move, no reported newsWed 1:44 AM+0.5Pitt loses Heintschel for season,plans two-QB look at MiamiSat 9:21 AM−0.5Closing line−20.5
−24−23−22−21−20Opening line−23.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 12:34 AM+3Market move, no reported newsWed 1:44 AM+0.5Pitt loses Heintschel for season, plans two-QBlook at MiamiSat 9:21 AM−0.5Closing line−20.5

Final: Pittsburgh 23, Miami 52. Miami beat the closing number by 8.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−23.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Oct 18, 12:34 AM ET+3
Market move, no reported newsWed Oct 21, 1:44 AM ET+0.5
Pitt loses Heintschel for season, plans two-QB look at MiamiSat Oct 24, 9:21 AM ET-0.5
Closing line−20.5
What moved the Miami moneylineMiami Hurricanes moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Miami.
−1011−1150−1329Opening line−1349Reaction to last week's gameSun 12:34 AM−1349Market move, no reported newsWed 1:44 AM−1349Pitt loses Heintschel for season,plans two-QB look at MiamiSat 9:21 AM−1349Price-only move−1049Closing line−1049
−1011−1150−1329Opening line−1349Reaction to last week's gameSun 12:34 AM−1349Market move, no reported newsWed 1:44 AM−1349Pitt loses Heintschel for season, plans two-QBlook at MiamiSat 9:21 AM−1349Price-only move−1049Closing line−1049
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line93.1% (−1349)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Oct 18, 12:34 AM ET93.1% (−1349)
Market move, no reported newsWed Oct 21, 1:44 AM ET93.1% (−1349)
Pitt loses Heintschel for season, plans two-QB look at MiamiSat Oct 24, 9:21 AM ET93.1% (−1349)
Price-only move91.3% (−1049)
Closing line91.3% (−1049)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
5051525354Opening line53.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:41 AM−2Market move, no reported newsMon 11:15 PM−1Closing line50.5
5051525354Opening line53.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:41 AM−2Market move, no reported newsMon 11:15 PM−1Closing line50.5

Final: 75 points, over the closing total of 50.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line53.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Oct 18, 3:41 AM ET-2
Market move, no reported newsMon Oct 19, 11:15 PM ET-1
Closing line50.5

Notes

InjurySat Oct 24, 1:20 PM · Miami

Miami receiver Toney exits Pitt game with ankle injury

Miami wide receiver Malachi Toney left Saturday's game against Pittsburgh with an ankle injury. His absence thins the Hurricanes' passing game for the rest of the contest and possibly beyond. Yahoo Sports

MarketSat Oct 24, 9:45 AM · Miami

Total rises 2 for Pittsburgh at Miami with no reported news

The consensus total on Pittsburgh at Miami has moved from 48.5 to 50.5, with 11 of 11 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.

InjuryFri Oct 23, 6:00 AM · Pittsburgh

Pitt loses Heintschel for season, plans two-QB look at Miami

Pitt quarterback Mason Heintschel is out for the season with an injury. Coach Pat Narduzzi plans to use both Holden Geriner and Corey Dailey at quarterback against top-ranked Miami. Yahoo Sports

MarketSun Oct 18, 6:39 PM · Miami

Line moves 1.5 toward Pittsburgh after last week's results

The consensus spread on Pittsburgh at Miami has moved from −21.5 to −20 (home side), with 11 of 11 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

MarketSun Oct 18, 5:06 PM · Miami

Line moves 2.5 toward Pittsburgh after last week's results

The consensus spread on Pittsburgh at Miami has moved from −22.5 to −20 (home side), with 10 of 10 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

MarketSun Oct 18, 11:39 AM · Miami

Line moves 3 toward Pittsburgh after last week's results

The consensus spread on Pittsburgh at Miami has moved from −23.5 to −20.5 (home side). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

MarketSun Oct 18, 9:21 AM · Miami

Line moves 2 toward Pittsburgh after last week's results

The consensus spread on Pittsburgh at Miami has moved from −23 to −21 (home side). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

MarketSun Oct 18, 8:51 AM · Miami

Line moves 2.5 toward Pittsburgh after last week's results

The consensus spread on Pittsburgh at Miami has moved from −23.5 to −21 (home side), with 3 of 3 books moving the same way. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

MarketSun Oct 18, 3:41 AM · Miami

Line moves 3.5 toward Pittsburgh after last week's results

The consensus spread on Pittsburgh at Miami has moved from −24.5 to −21 (home side), with 1 of 1 books moving the same way. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

MarketSun Oct 18, 3:41 AM · Miami

Total drops 2.5 for Pittsburgh at Miami after last week's results

The consensus total on Pittsburgh at Miami has moved from 53.5 to 51, with 1 of 1 books moving the same way. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

MarketSun Oct 18, 12:34 AM · Miami

Line moves 1 toward Miami after last week's results

The consensus spread on Pittsburgh at Miami has moved from −23.5 to −24.5 (home side). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

Every Book · Miami side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−20.5 −112−18001.06 91.3%50.5Sat 11:59 AM
DraftKings−20.5 −112−16501.06 90.8%50.5Sat 11:59 AM
FanDuel−20.5 −118−21001.05 91.3%50.5Sat 11:59 AM
BetMGM−20.5 −112−16001.06 91.5%50.5Sat 11:59 AM
Caesars−20.5 −113−20001.05 91.3%50.5Sat 11:59 AM
Fanatics−20.5 −115−18001.06 91.6%50.5Sat 11:59 AM
BetRivers−21 −112−25001.04 91.4%51Sat 11:59 AM
BetOnline−20 −115−18001.06 91.1%50.5Sat 11:59 AM
Bovada−20.5 −110−18001.06 90.0%50.5Sat 11:59 AM
LowVig−20 −113−18001.06 91.1%50.5Sat 11:59 AM
MyBookie−20.5 −110−25491.04 91.4%51Sat 11:59 AM
BetUS−20 −110−18001.06 91.2%51Sat 11:59 AM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.