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Sunday, October 25, 2026 Week 8 · Late Edition

College football · Week 8 · Saturday, October 24, 3:30 PM ET · Final Sacramento State 17, Ball State 34

Sacramento State at Ball State

Ball State −9.5 at our first look, −14.5 at kickoff. Mid-American game. Team pages: Sacramento State · Ball State

Conditions · Scheumann Stadium: Forecast 68°F, wind 4 mph, 0% chance of rain. At kickoff: 68°F, wind 4 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: Sacramento State 0.0 · Ball State 0.0. Market: moved 5 toward Ball State.

Landed: Sacramento State 17, Ball State 34. Ball State covered the closing line (Ball State −14.5). The move toward Ball State was right. 51 points, push the closing total of 51.

Sacramento State Hornets 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Ball State Cardinals 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Ball State lineBall State Cardinals spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Ball State.
−15−14−13−12−11−10−9Opening line−9.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:52 PM−4.5Market move, no reported newsMon 7:39 PM−0.5Closing line−14.5
−14−12−10Opening line−9.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:52 PM−4.5Market move, no reported newsMon 7:39 PM−0.5Closing line−14.5

Final: Sacramento State 17, Ball State 34. Ball State beat the closing number by 2.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−9.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Oct 18, 1:52 PM ET-4.5
Market move, no reported newsMon Oct 19, 7:39 PM ET-0.5
Closing line−14.5
What moved the Ball State moneylineBall State Cardinals moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Ball State.
−317−355−400−456−525Opening line−302Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:52 PM−525Market move, no reported newsMon 7:39 PM−525Less than the spread implies−465Closing line−465
−317−355−400−456−525Opening line−302Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:52 PM−525Market move, no reported newsMon 7:39 PM−525Less than the spread implies−465Closing line−465
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line75.1% (−302)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Oct 18, 1:52 PM ET84.0% (−525)
Market move, no reported newsMon Oct 19, 7:39 PM ET84.0% (−525)
Less than the spread implies82.3% (−465)
Closing line82.3% (−465)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
495051Opening line49.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:52 PM+1.5Closing line51
495051Opening line49.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:52 PM+1.5Closing line51

Final: 51 points, exactly on the closing total of 51.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line49.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Oct 18, 1:52 PM ET+1.5
Closing line51

Notes

MarketMon Oct 19, 10:21 AM · Ball State

Line moves 2.5 toward Ball State with no reported news

The consensus spread on Sacramento State at Ball State has moved from −12 to −14.5 (home side), with 11 of 11 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.

MarketMon Oct 19, 7:44 AM · Ball State

Line moves 3 toward Ball State with no reported news

The consensus spread on Sacramento State at Ball State has moved from −11.5 to −14.5 (home side), with 11 of 11 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.

MarketSun Oct 18, 5:06 PM · Ball State

Line moves 2 toward Ball State after last week's results

The consensus spread on Sacramento State at Ball State has moved from −12 to −14 (home side), with 8 of 8 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

MarketSun Oct 18, 4:35 PM · Ball State

Line moves 3.5 toward Ball State after last week's results

The consensus spread on Sacramento State at Ball State has moved from −10.5 to −14 (home side), with 8 of 8 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

MarketSun Oct 18, 1:52 PM · Ball State

Line moves 4.5 toward Ball State after last week's results

The consensus spread on Sacramento State at Ball State has moved from −9.5 to −14 (home side). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

MarketSun Oct 18, 1:52 PM · Ball State

Total rises 1.5 for Sacramento State at Ball State after last week's results

The consensus total on Sacramento State at Ball State has moved from 49.5 to 51. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

Every Book · Ball State side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−14.5 −110−6001.17 82.3%51Sat 3:26 PM
DraftKings−14.5 −108−6001.17 82.2%51.5Sat 3:26 PM
FanDuel−14.5 −105−7101.14 83.8%51.5Sat 3:26 PM
BetMGM−14 −120−6001.17 82.5%51.5Sat 3:26 PM
Caesars−14.5 −107−6251.16 82.6%51Sat 3:26 PM
Fanatics−14.5 −110−6001.17 82.2%51Sat 3:26 PM
BetRivers−14.5 −109−8351.12 84.5%50.5Sat 3:26 PM
BetOnline−14.5 −110−5951.17 82.3%51Sat 3:26 PM
Bovada−14.5 −110−6251.16 82.0%51Sat 3:26 PM
LowVig−14.5 −103−5951.17 82.3%51Sat 3:26 PM
MyBookie−14.5 −110−6161.16 81.8%51Sat 3:26 PM
BetUS−14.5 −115−6001.17 82.5%51Sat 3:26 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.