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The Sharp Edition
The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 26, 2026 Week 9 · Early Edition

College football · Week 9 · Saturday, October 31, 12:00 PM ET

California at NC State

NC State −6.5 at our first look, −8.5 now. ACC game. Team pages: California · NC State

Conditions · Carter-Finley Stadium: Forecast 71°F, wind 8 mph, 1% chance of rain.

Line Movement

What moved the NC State lineNC State Wolfpack spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against NC State.
−9−8−7−6Opening line−6.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:31 AM−2Line now−8.5
−9−8−7−6Opening line−6.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:31 AM−2Line now−8.5
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−6.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Oct 25, 3:31 AM ET-2
Line now−8.5
What moved the NC State moneylineNC State Wolfpack moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward NC State.
−233−257−285Opening line−224Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:31 AM−302Less than the spread implies−273Line now−273
−233−257−285Opening line−224Reaction to last week's gameSun 3:31 AM−302Less than the spread implies−273Line now−273
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line69.1% (−224)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Oct 25, 3:31 AM ET75.1% (−302)
Less than the spread implies73.2% (−273)
Line now73.2% (−273)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.

57.5 no movement since tracking began Sun 3:00 AM ET.

Notes

MarketSun Oct 25, 2:04 PM · Nc State

Line moves 1 toward NC State after last week's results

The consensus spread on California at NC State has moved from −7.5 to −8.5 (home side), with 4 of 7 books moving the same way. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

MarketSun Oct 25, 3:31 AM · Nc State

Line moves 1 toward NC State after last week's results

The consensus spread on California at NC State has moved from −6.5 to −7.5 (home side). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

CoachingSat Oct 24, 5:56 PM · Nc State

NC State fires Doeren after 14 seasons

NC State dismissed head coach Dave Doeren on Saturday, a day after a 31-28 loss to Stanford. The Wolfpack will be led by interim staff for the rest of the season, starting with the home game against California. On3

Every Book · NC State side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−8.5 −110−3221.31 73.2%57.5Mon 2:29 AM
DraftKings−8.5 −108−3251.31 73.4%57.5Mon 1:27 AM
FanDuel−7.5 −114−3201.31 73.0%57.5Mon 1:27 AM
BetMGM−8 −110−3251.31 73.4%57.5Mon 1:27 AM
Caesars−8.5 −106−3201.31 72.7%57.5Mon 1:27 AM
Fanatics−8.5 −110−3301.30 73.4%57Mon 1:27 AM
BetRivers−7.5 −112−3151.32 72.4%57.5Mon 1:27 AM
BetOnline−8.5 −110—— —58Mon 1:27 AM
Bovada−8.5 −110−3201.31 73.3%57Mon 1:27 AM
LowVig−8.5 −106—— —58Mon 1:27 AM
MyBookie−8.5 −110−3301.30 73.2%57Mon 1:27 AM
BetUS−8.5 −110—— —58Mon 1:27 AM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.