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The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 26, 2026 Week 9 · Early Edition

College football · Week 9 · Saturday, October 31, 3:30 PM ET

Minnesota at 6Indiana

Indiana −22.5 at our first look, −19.5 now. Big Ten game. Team pages: Minnesota · Indiana

Conditions · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN): Forecast 67°F, wind 5 mph, 14% chance of rain.

The read so far

News: Minnesota 0.0 · Indiana −2.1 → favors Minnesota by 2.1. Market: moved 3 toward Minnesota. Moved past our number

Minnesota Golden Gophers 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Indiana Hoosiers −2.1

QB Josh Hoover
Yahoo Sports, Sat 4:10 PM: Questionable
Questionable−2.1

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Indiana lineIndiana Hoosiers spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Indiana.
−23−22−21−20−19Opening line−22.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 12:56 AM+3Line now−19.5
−23−22−21−20−19Opening line−22.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 12:56 AM+3Line now−19.5
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−22.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Oct 25, 12:56 AM ET+3
Line now−19.5
What moved the Indiana moneylineIndiana Hoosiers moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Indiana.
−809−900−1011−1150Opening line−1150Reaction to last week's gameSun 12:56 AM−1150Price-only move−862Line now−862
−809−900−1011−1150Opening line−1150Reaction to last week's gameSun 12:56 AM−1150Price-only move−862Line now−862
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line92.0% (−1150)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Oct 25, 12:56 AM ET92.0% (−1150)
Price-only move89.6% (−862)
Line now89.6% (−862)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
4243444546Opening line45.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:27 AM−3Line now42.5
4243444546Opening line45.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:27 AM−3Line now42.5
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line45.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Oct 25, 1:27 AM ET-3
Line now42.5

Notes

MarketSun Oct 25, 12:30 PM · Indiana

Line moves 1 toward Minnesota after last week's results

The consensus spread on Minnesota at Indiana has moved from −20.5 to −19.5 (home side), with 3 of 4 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

MarketSun Oct 25, 10:58 AM · Indiana

Total drops 1.5 for Minnesota at Indiana after last week's results

The consensus total on Minnesota at Indiana has moved from 43.5 to 42. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

MarketSun Oct 25, 9:26 AM · Indiana

Total drops 1.5 for Minnesota at Indiana after last week's results

The consensus total on Minnesota at Indiana has moved from 43 to 41.5, with 0 of 3 books moving the same way. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

MarketSun Oct 25, 1:27 AM · Indiana

Total drops 3 for Minnesota at Indiana after last week's results

The consensus total on Minnesota at Indiana has moved from 45.5 to 42.5. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

MarketSun Oct 25, 12:56 AM · Indiana

Line moves 3 toward Minnesota after last week's results

The consensus spread on Minnesota at Indiana has moved from −22.5 to −19.5 (home side). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

InjurySat Oct 24, 4:10 PM · Indiana

Hoover limited by arm injury in Indiana's overtime win at Michigan

Indiana quarterback Josh Hoover threw only two passes in the second half of the overtime victory at Michigan, and coach Curt Cignetti said afterward he was not fully healthy. His arm condition is a question heading into the Minnesota game. Yahoo Sports

Every Book · Indiana side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−19.5 −110−14001.07 89.6%42.5Mon 2:29 AM
DraftKings−19.5 −110−13501.07 89.3%42.5Mon 1:27 AM
FanDuel−19.5 −112−16001.06 90.0%42.5Mon 1:27 AM
BetMGM−19.5 −110−12001.08 89.8%42.5Mon 1:27 AM
Caesars−19.5 −113−14501.07 89.4%42.5Mon 1:27 AM
Fanatics−20 −110−13001.08 89.3%42Mon 1:27 AM
BetRivers−19.5 −112−25001.04 90.6%41.5Mon 1:27 AM
BetOnline−18.5 −120—— —43Mon 1:27 AM
Bovada−20 −110−13001.08 88.5%41.5Mon 1:27 AM
LowVig−18.5 −116—— —43Mon 1:27 AM
MyBookie−19.5 −110−16951.06 90.0%42.5Mon 1:27 AM
BetUS−20 +100—— —43Mon 1:27 AM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.