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The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 26, 2026 Week 9 · Early Edition

College football · Week 9 · Saturday, October 31, 3:30 PM ET

24Northwestern at Oregon

Oregon −7.5 at our first look, −3.5 now. Big Ten game. Team pages: Northwestern · Oregon

Conditions · Autzen Stadium: Forecast 48°F, wind 10 mph, 9% chance of rain.

Line Movement

What moved the Oregon lineOregon Ducks spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Oregon.
−8−7−6−5−4−3Opening line−7.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 12:56 AM+4Line now−3.5
−8−7−6−5−4−3Opening line−7.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 12:56 AM+4Line now−3.5
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−7.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Oct 25, 12:56 AM ET+4
Line now−3.5
What moved the Oregon moneylineOregon Ducks moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Oregon.
−122−150−186−233Opening line−233Reaction to last week's gameSun 12:56 AM−129Less than the spread implies−156Line now−156
−122−150−186−233Opening line−233Reaction to last week's gameSun 12:56 AM−129Less than the spread implies−156Line now−156
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line70.0% (−233)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Oct 25, 12:56 AM ET56.4% (−129)
Less than the spread implies60.9% (−156)
Line now60.9% (−156)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
4950515253Opening line50.5Market move, no reported newsThu 2:32 PM+2Reaction to last week's gameSun 2:29 AM−3Line now49.5
4950515253Opening line50.5Market move, no reported newsThu 2:32 PM+2Reaction to last week's gameSun 2:29 AM−3Line now49.5
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line50.5
Market move, no reported newsThu Oct 22, 2:32 PM ET+2
Reaction to last week's gameSun Oct 25, 2:29 AM ET-3
Line now49.5

Notes

CoachingSun Oct 25, 12:43 PM · Oregon

Oregon reportedly cuts ties with offensive coordinator Mehringer

Oregon is reported to be parting ways with offensive coordinator Drew Mehringer after a poor offensive stretch. A new play-caller would change how the Ducks operate against Northwestern. Yahoo Sports

MarketSun Oct 25, 10:27 AM · Oregon

Line moves 1 toward Northwestern after last week's results

The consensus spread on Northwestern at Oregon has moved from −4.5 to −3.5 (home side), with 2 of 3 books moving the same way. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

MarketSun Oct 25, 10:27 AM · Oregon

Total drops 1.5 for Northwestern at Oregon after last week's results

The consensus total on Northwestern at Oregon has moved from 51 to 49.5, with 3 of 3 books moving the same way. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

MarketSun Oct 25, 8:25 AM · Oregon

Total rises 1.5 for Northwestern at Oregon after last week's results

The consensus total on Northwestern at Oregon has moved from 49.5 to 51, with 1 of 2 books moving the same way. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

MarketSun Oct 25, 2:29 AM · Oregon

Total drops 2 for Northwestern at Oregon after last week's results

The consensus total on Northwestern at Oregon has moved from 51.5 to 49.5. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

MarketSun Oct 25, 12:56 AM · Oregon

Line moves 4 toward Northwestern after last week's results

The consensus spread on Northwestern at Oregon has moved from −7.5 to −3.5 (home side). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

MarketSun Oct 25, 12:56 AM · Oregon

Total drops 3 for Northwestern at Oregon after last week's results

The consensus total on Northwestern at Oregon has moved from 52.5 to 49.5. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

CoachingSat Oct 24, 7:16 PM · Oregon

Lanning hints Oregon could change offensive coordinator

After a third straight sluggish offensive showing, Oregon coach Dan Lanning did not rule out a change at offensive coordinator. Any switch in play-calling would affect how the Ducks operate in their next game. Yahoo Sports

Every Book · Oregon side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−3.5 −110−1751.57 60.9%49.5Mon 2:29 AM
DraftKings−3.5 −105−1751.57 60.9%49.5Mon 1:27 AM
FanDuel−3.5 −104−1521.66 57.7%49.5Mon 1:27 AM
BetMGM−3.5 −108−1651.61 59.7%49.5Mon 1:27 AM
Caesars−3.5 −105−1701.59 60.2%49.5Mon 1:27 AM
Fanatics−3.5 −105−1751.57 60.9%50Mon 1:27 AM
BetRivers−3.5 −110−1801.56 61.0%49.5Mon 1:27 AM
BetOnline−3 −125—— —48Mon 1:27 AM
Bovada−3.5 −110−1751.57 61.4%50Mon 1:27 AM
LowVig−3 −122—— —48Mon 1:27 AM
MyBookie−3.5 −110−1781.56 61.0%49.5Mon 1:27 AM
BetUS−3 −125—— —48Mon 1:27 AM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.