College football · Week 9 · Saturday, October 31, 7:30 PM ET
3Ohio State at 16USC
USC +7 at our first look, +7 now. Big Ten game. Team pages: Ohio State · USC
Conditions · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum: Forecast 70°F, wind 9 mph, 38% chance of rain.
The read so far
News: Ohio State −10.6 · USC 0.0 → favors USC by 6.1. Market: line unchanged. Not priced in
Ohio State Buckeyes −10.6
| QB Julian Sayin Yahoo Sports, Sun 8:01 AM: Out |
Out | −6.1 |
| QB Luke Fahey Yahoo Sports, Tue 5:50 PM: Named starter (for Julian Sayin) · before the line opened, so the opener already has it |
Named starter | −4.5 |
USC Trojans 0.0
No news that moves the number.
Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.
Line Movement
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | +7 | |
| Ohio State opens quarterback competition between Fahey and St. Clair | Thu Oct 22, 12:59 PM ET | -0.5 |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Oct 25, 3:06 PM ET | +0.5 |
| Line now | +7 |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 30.4% (+229) | |
| Ohio State opens quarterback competition between Fahey and St. Clair | Thu Oct 22, 12:59 PM ET | 32.0% (+212) |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Oct 25, 3:06 PM ET | 30.4% (+229) |
| Line now | 30.7% (+226) |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 54.5 | |
| Market move, no reported news | Wed Oct 21, 8:26 PM ET | -1 |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Oct 25, 12:56 AM ET | -3 |
| Line now | 50.5 |
Notes
Total drops 2 for Ohio State at USC after last week's results
The consensus total on Ohio State at USC has moved from 52.5 to 50.5, with 2 of 3 books moving the same way. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
Ohio State without QB Julian Sayin as Buckeyes head to USC
Ohio State quarterback Julian Sayin is sidelined by injury, leaving Ryan Day to adjust the offense around a backup. The absence of the starting quarterback is significant for the Buckeyes' trip to USC. Yahoo Sports
Total drops 3 for Ohio State at USC ahead of the news
The consensus total on Ohio State at USC has moved from 53.5 to 50.5. The market started moving 7h 04m before the report: Ohio State without QB Julian Sayin as Buckeyes head to USC.
Ohio State opens quarterback competition between Fahey and St. Clair
With Julian Sayin sidelined by an arm injury, Ryan Day said Tavien St. Clair will compete with Luke Fahey for the starting job. Fahey had been the backup, so the starter for the USC trip is now unsettled. Yahoo Sports
Ohio State running back Jackson has foot surgery
Ohio State running back Ja'Kobi Jackson had surgery on his foot, according to reports. The procedure puts his availability for the Buckeyes' upcoming trip to USC in doubt and thins the backfield rotation. ESPN
Freshman Fahey in line to start for Ohio State with Sayin's arm hurt
Ohio State lost quarterback Julian Sayin to an arm injury during its win at Indiana, and coach Ryan Day is turning to true freshman Luke Fahey. That shifts the Buckeyes' offense to an inexperienced starter for the trip to USC. Yahoo Sports
Day: Sayin out several weeks for Ohio State
Ryan Day said quarterback Julian Sayin is expected to miss several weeks with the injury he suffered at Indiana. That timeline rules him out at USC and puts backup Fahey in line to start. Yahoo Sports
Every Book · USC side
| Book | Spread | Price | Moneyline | Decimal | Win % (no-vig) | Total | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | +7 | −110 | +211 | 3.11 | 30.7% | 50.5 | Mon 2:29 AM |
| DraftKings | +7 | −108 | +215 | 3.15 | 30.4% | 50.5 | Mon 1:27 AM |
| FanDuel | +7.5 | −124 | +205 | 3.05 | 31.3% | 50.5 | Mon 1:27 AM |
| BetMGM | +7 | −110 | +210 | 3.10 | 31.1% | 50.5 | Mon 1:27 AM |
| Caesars | +7 | −114 | +210 | 3.10 | 30.9% | 50.5 | Mon 1:27 AM |
| Fanatics | +7 | −110 | +215 | 3.15 | 30.4% | 50.5 | Mon 1:27 AM |
| BetRivers | +7 | −115 | +205 | 3.05 | 31.1% | 50.5 | Mon 1:27 AM |
| BetOnline | +7 | −104 | — | — | — | 50.5 | Mon 1:27 AM |
| Bovada | +7 | −110 | +220 | 3.20 | 30.0% | 50.5 | Mon 1:27 AM |
| LowVig | +7 | +100 | — | — | — | 50.5 | Mon 1:27 AM |
| MyBookie | — | — | +216 | 3.16 | 30.1% | 50.5 | Mon 1:27 AM |
| BetUS | +7 | −115 | — | — | — | 50.5 | Mon 1:27 AM |
College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.