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The Sharp Edition
The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 26, 2026 Week 9 · Early Edition

College football · Week 9 · Saturday, October 31, 10:00 PM ET

Texas State at 21Boise State

Boise State −10.5 at our first look, −11.5 now. Pac-12 game. Team pages: Texas State · Boise State

Conditions · Albertsons Stadium: Forecast 54°F, wind 6 mph, 22% chance of rain.

Line Movement

What moved the Boise State lineBoise State Broncos spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Boise State.
−12−11−10Opening line−10.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:01 PM−1Line now−11.5
−12−11−10Opening line−10.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:01 PM−1Line now−11.5
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−10.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Oct 25, 1:01 PM ET-1
Line now−11.5
What moved the Boise State moneylineBoise State Broncos moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Boise State.
−355−376−400−426Opening line−361Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:01 PM−413Less than the spread implies−381Line now−381
−355−376−400−426Opening line−361Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:01 PM−413Less than the spread implies−381Line now−381
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line78.3% (−361)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Oct 25, 1:01 PM ET80.5% (−413)
Less than the spread implies79.2% (−381)
Line now79.2% (−381)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.

63.5 no movement since tracking began Sun 11:28 AM ET.

Notes

MarketSun Oct 25, 3:38 PM · Boise State

Line moves 1 toward Texas State after last week's results

The consensus spread on Texas State at Boise State has moved from −12.5 to −11.5 (home side), with 6 of 6 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

MarketSun Oct 25, 11:59 AM · Boise State

Line moves 2 toward Boise State after last week's results

The consensus spread on Texas State at Boise State has moved from −10.5 to −12.5 (home side). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

MarketSun Oct 25, 11:59 AM · Boise State

Total rises 1.5 for Texas State at Boise State after last week's results

The consensus total on Texas State at Boise State has moved from 63.5 to 65. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

Every Book · Boise State side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−11.5 −110−4751.21 79.2%63.5Mon 2:29 AM
DraftKings−11.5 −108−4701.21 79.1%63.5Mon 1:27 AM
FanDuel−11.5 −112−4901.20 79.4%63.5Mon 1:27 AM
BetMGM−11 −110−4751.21 79.2%63.5Mon 1:27 AM
Caesars−11.5 −109−4801.21 79.7%63.5Mon 1:27 AM
Fanatics−11 −110−4751.21 79.2%64Mon 1:27 AM
BetRivers−11.5 −112−5901.17 81.0%63.5Mon 1:27 AM
BetOnline−12 −105—— —64.5Mon 1:27 AM
Bovada−10.5 −110−4701.21 78.6%64Mon 1:27 AM
LowVig−12 −101—— —64.5Mon 1:27 AM
MyBookie−11.5 −110−4411.23 77.8%63.5Mon 1:27 AM
BetUS−12 −105—— —64.5Mon 1:27 AM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.