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The Sharp Edition
The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 26, 2026 Week 9 · Early Edition

College football · Week 9 · Thursday, October 29, 7:30 PM ET

Troy at James Madison

James Madison −17.5 at our first look, −21 now. Sun Belt game. Team pages: Troy · James Madison

Conditions · Bridgeforth Stadium: Forecast 59°F, wind 5 mph, 0% chance of rain.

Line Movement

What moved the James Madison lineJames Madison Dukes spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against James Madison.
−21−20−19−18−17Opening line−17.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:27 AM−3.5Line now−21
−21−20−19−18−17Opening line−17.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:27 AM−3.5Line now−21
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−17.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Oct 25, 1:27 AM ET-3.5
Line now−21
What moved the James Madison moneylineJames Madison Dukes moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward James Madison.
−669−733−809−900Opening line−694Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:27 AM−694Price-only move−890Line now−890
−669−733−809−900Opening line−694Reaction to last week's gameSun 1:27 AM−694Price-only move−890Line now−890
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line87.4% (−694)
Reaction to last week's gameSun Oct 25, 1:27 AM ET87.4% (−694)
Price-only move89.9% (−890)
Line now89.9% (−890)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
5152Opening line51.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:28 AM+0.5Line now52
5152Opening line51.5Reaction to last week's gameSun 11:28 AM+0.5Line now52
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line51.5
Reaction to last week's gameSun Oct 25, 11:28 AM ET+0.5
Line now52

Notes

MarketSun Oct 25, 3:38 PM · James Madison

Line moves 1 toward James Madison after last week's results

The consensus spread on Troy at James Madison has moved from −19.5 to −20.5 (home side), with 2 of 7 books moving the same way. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

MarketSun Oct 25, 1:01 PM · James Madison

Line moves 1 toward James Madison after last week's results

The consensus spread on Troy at James Madison has moved from −19 to −20 (home side), with 5 of 7 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

MarketSun Oct 25, 11:28 AM · James Madison

Line moves 2.5 toward James Madison after last week's results

The consensus spread on Troy at James Madison has moved from −18.5 to −21 (home side), with 4 of 4 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

MarketSun Oct 25, 1:27 AM · James Madison

Line moves 3.5 toward James Madison after last week's results

The consensus spread on Troy at James Madison has moved from −17.5 to −21 (home side), with 2 of 2 books moving the same way. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

Every Book · James Madison side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−21 −110−14501.07 89.9%52Mon 2:29 AM
DraftKings−21 −105−14501.07 89.9%52.5Mon 1:27 AM
FanDuel−21.5 −105−21001.05 91.3%51.5Mon 1:27 AM
BetMGM−21 −108−14001.07 90.3%51.5Mon 1:27 AM
Caesars−21 −107−14501.07 89.9%52Mon 1:27 AM
Fanatics−21 −110−14001.07 89.9%52Mon 1:27 AM
BetRivers−20.5 −121−25001.04 91.0%51.5Mon 1:27 AM
BetOnline−20.5 −115−14001.07 89.7%52Mon 1:27 AM
Bovada−21 −110−16001.06 89.4%52Mon 1:27 AM
LowVig−20.5 −111−14001.07 89.7%52Mon 1:27 AM
MyBookie−21 −110−15871.06 89.5%52Mon 1:27 AM
BetUS−21 −110—— —52Mon 1:27 AM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.