College football · Week 9 · Saturday, October 31, 3:30 PM ET · Final UTEP 7, North Dakota State 31
UTEP at North Dakota State
North Dakota State −26.5 at our first look, −23.5 at kickoff. Mountain West game. Team pages: UTEP · North Dakota State
Conditions · Fargodome: Indoors.
The read at kickoff
News: UTEP 0.0 · North Dakota State −1.6 → favors UTEP by 1.6. Market: moved 3 toward UTEP. Moved past our number
Landed: UTEP 7, North Dakota State 31. North Dakota State covered the closing line (North Dakota State −23.5). The move toward UTEP was right. 38 points, under the closing total of 44.
UTEP Miners 0.0
No news that moves the number.
North Dakota State Bison −1.6
| QB Nathan Hayes Yahoo Sports, Wed 7:34 PM: Questionable |
Questionable | −1.6 |
Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.
Line Movement
Final: UTEP 7, North Dakota State 31. North Dakota State beat the closing number by 0.5.
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | −26.5 | |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Oct 25, 4:41 PM ET | +1.5 |
| Market move, no reported news | Mon Oct 26, 3:59 PM ET | +2 |
| Polasek updates Bison QB Hayes' ankle before UTEP visit | Thu Oct 29, 7:11 PM ET | -0.5 |
| Closing line | −23.5 |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 94.9% (−1861) | |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Oct 25, 4:41 PM ET | 94.9% (−1861) |
| Market move, no reported news | Mon Oct 26, 3:59 PM ET | 94.9% (−1861) |
| Polasek updates Bison QB Hayes' ankle before UTEP visit | Thu Oct 29, 7:11 PM ET | 94.9% (−1861) |
| Price-only move | 92.9% (−1308) | |
| Closing line | 92.9% (−1308) |
Final: 38 points, under the closing total of 44.
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 47 | |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Oct 25, 3:06 PM ET | -3 |
| Closing line | 44 |
Notes
Polasek updates Bison QB Hayes' ankle before UTEP visit
North Dakota State quarterback Nathan Hayes hurt his ankle in the game against New Mexico, and coach Tim Polasek gave an update on his condition Tuesday. His availability shapes the Bison offense for Saturday's home game with UTEP. Yahoo Sports
Line moves 1.5 toward UTEP with no reported news
The consensus spread on UTEP at North Dakota State has moved from −25.5 to −24 (home side), with 10 of 11 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.
Line moves 1 toward North Dakota State with no reported news
The consensus spread on UTEP at North Dakota State has moved from −24.5 to −25.5 (home side). Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.
Line moves 2 toward UTEP after last week's results
The consensus spread on UTEP at North Dakota State has moved from −26.5 to −24.5 (home side), with 3 of 5 books moving the same way. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
Total drops 2.5 for UTEP at North Dakota State after last week's results
The consensus total on UTEP at North Dakota State has moved from 46.5 to 44. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
Total drops 3 for UTEP at North Dakota State after last week's results
The consensus total on UTEP at North Dakota State has moved from 47 to 44. The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.
Every Book · North Dakota State side
| Book | Spread | Price | Moneyline | Decimal | Win % (no-vig) | Total | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | −23.5 | −114 | −2800 | 1.04 | 92.9% | 44 | Sat 3:28 PM |
| DraftKings | −23.5 | −118 | −2400 | 1.04 | 92.6% | 44.5 | Sat 3:28 PM |
| FanDuel | −23.5 | −110 | −3000 | 1.03 | 93.0% | 44.5 | Sat 3:28 PM |
| BetMGM | −23.5 | −110 | −2500 | 1.04 | 93.5% | 44.5 | Sat 3:28 PM |
| Caesars | −23.5 | −117 | −3500 | 1.03 | 93.2% | 44 | Sat 3:28 PM |
| Fanatics | −23.5 | −115 | −2800 | 1.04 | 93.5% | 44.5 | Sat 3:28 PM |
| BetRivers | −23.5 | −114 | −10000 | 1.01 | 93.7% | 43.5 | Sat 3:28 PM |
| BetOnline | −23.5 | −115 | −2800 | 1.04 | 92.7% | 44 | Sat 3:28 PM |
| Bovada | −23.5 | −115 | −2500 | 1.04 | 92.6% | 44.5 | Sat 3:28 PM |
| LowVig | −23.5 | −111 | −2800 | 1.04 | 92.7% | 44 | Sat 3:28 PM |
| MyBookie | −24 | −110 | −3030 | 1.03 | 92.4% | 44 | Sat 3:28 PM |
| BetUS | −23.5 | −110 | −2800 | 1.04 | 92.9% | 44 | Sat 3:28 PM |
College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.