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The Sharp Edition
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Tuesday, November 3, 2026 Week 10 · Early Edition

College football · Week 10 · Friday, November 6, 7:00 PM ET

Virginia Tech at SMU

SMU −7.5 at our first look, −6.5 now. ACC game. Team pages: Virginia Tech · SMU

Conditions · Gerald J. Ford Stadium: Forecast 68°F, wind 7 mph, 1% chance of rain.

Line Movement

What moved the SMU lineSMU Mustangs spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against SMU.
−8−7−6Opening line−7.5Reaction to last week's gameSat 7:34 PM+1Line now−6.5
−8−7−6Opening line−7.5Reaction to last week's gameSat 7:34 PM+1Line now−6.5
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−7.5
Reaction to last week's gameSat Oct 31, 7:34 PM ET+1
Line now−6.5
What moved the SMU moneylineSMU Mustangs moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward SMU.
−194−203−213−223−233−245Opening line−239Reaction to last week's gameSat 7:34 PM−207Price-only move−198Line now−198
−194−203−213−223−233−245Opening line−239Reaction to last week's gameSat 7:34 PM−207Price-only move−198Line now−198
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line70.5% (−239)
Reaction to last week's gameSat Oct 31, 7:34 PM ET67.4% (−207)
Price-only move66.4% (−198)
Line now66.4% (−198)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
565758Opening line57.5Reaction to last week's gameSat 7:34 PM−1Line now56.5
565758Opening line57.5Reaction to last week's gameSat 7:34 PM−1Line now56.5
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line57.5
Reaction to last week's gameSat Oct 31, 7:34 PM ET-1
Line now56.5

Notes

MarketSat Oct 31, 7:34 PM · Smu

Line moves 1 toward Virginia Tech after last week's results

The consensus spread on Virginia Tech at SMU has moved from −7.5 to −6.5 (home side). The move began within hours of the teams' last games: the market re-rating them on what it just saw, not a news story.

Every Book · SMU side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−6.5 −110−2261.44 66.4%56.5Sun 12:04 AM
DraftKings−6.5 −110−2181.46 65.7%56.5Sat 10:58 PM
Fanatics−6.5 −110−2351.43 67.0%56.5Sat 10:58 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.