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The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Wednesday, November 11, 2026 Week 11

College football · Week 11 · Saturday, November 14, 12:00 PM ET

Northwestern at 11Ohio State

Ohio State −12.5 at our first look, −14 now. Big Ten game. Team pages: Northwestern · Ohio State

Conditions · Ohio Stadium: Forecast 42°F, wind 10 mph, 2% chance of rain.

The read so far

News: Northwestern −6.3 · Ohio State 0.0 → favors Ohio State by 6.3. Market: moved 1.5 toward Ohio State. Not priced in

Northwestern Wildcats −6.3

QB Aidan Chiles
ESPN, Wed 8:43 PM: Out
Out−6.3

Ohio State Buckeyes 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Ohio State lineOhio State Buckeyes spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Ohio State.
−14−13−12Opening line−12.5Northwestern QB Chiles out againfor trip to Ohio StateWed 8:31 PM−1.5Line now−14
−14−13−12Opening line−12.5Northwestern QB Chiles out again for trip toOhio StateWed 8:31 PM−1.5Line now−14
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−12.5
Northwestern QB Chiles out again for trip to Ohio StateWed Nov 11, 8:31 PM ET-1.5
Line now−14
What moved the Ohio State moneylineOhio State Buckeyes moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Ohio State.
−376−400−426−456Opening line−378Northwestern QB Chiles out againfor trip to Ohio StateWed 8:31 PM−441Line now−446
−376−400−426−456Opening line−378Northwestern QB Chiles out again for trip toOhio StateWed 8:31 PM−441Line now−446
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line79.1% (−378)
Northwestern QB Chiles out again for trip to Ohio StateWed Nov 11, 8:31 PM ET81.5% (−441)
Line now81.7% (−446)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
444546Opening line45.5Market move, no reported newsWed 8:31 PM−1.5Line now44
444546Opening line45.5Market move, no reported newsWed 8:31 PM−1.5Line now44
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line45.5
Market move, no reported newsWed Nov 11, 8:31 PM ET-1.5
Line now44

Notes

InjuryWed Nov 11, 8:43 PM · Northwestern

Northwestern QB Chiles out again for trip to Ohio State

Northwestern quarterback Aidan Chiles will miss a second consecutive game when the Wildcats visit Ohio State. The team will again turn to a backup under center against one of the league's top defenses. ESPN

MarketWed Nov 11, 8:31 PM · Ohio State

Line moves 1.5 toward Ohio State ahead of the news

The consensus spread on Northwestern at Ohio State has moved from −12.5 to −14 (home side), with 10 of 10 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). The market started moving 0h 11m before the report: Northwestern QB Chiles out again for trip to Ohio State.

MarketWed Nov 11, 8:31 PM · Ohio State

Total drops 1.5 for Northwestern at Ohio State ahead of the news

The consensus total on Northwestern at Ohio State has moved from 45.5 to 44, with 10 of 10 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). The market started moving 0h 11m before the report: Northwestern QB Chiles out again for trip to Ohio State.

RosterTue Nov 10, 1:19 PM · Ohio State

Fahey keeps Ohio State starting QB job for Northwestern game

Ryan Day said Luke Fahey will remain Ohio State's starting quarterback against Northwestern on Saturday. The decision settles questions about a possible change under center. ESPN

Every Book · Ohio State side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−14 −113−5751.17 81.7%44Wed 10:36 PM
DraftKings−14 −110−5501.18 81.2%44.5Wed 9:34 PM
FanDuel−13.5 −115−6001.17 82.5%43.5Wed 9:34 PM
BetMGM−14 −110−6001.17 82.5%43.5Wed 9:34 PM
Caesars−14 −107−5601.18 80.9%44Wed 9:34 PM
Fanatics−13.5 −115−5751.17 81.7%44Wed 9:34 PM
BetRivers−13.5 −113−5601.18 80.3%44.5Wed 9:34 PM
BetOnline−14 −115−6001.17 82.4%44Wed 9:34 PM
Bovada−13.5 −117−5501.18 81.2%44.5Wed 9:34 PM
LowVig−14 −111−6001.17 82.4%44Wed 9:34 PM
MyBookie−14 −110−7211.14 83.5%44Wed 9:34 PM
BetUS−12.5 −110−4651.22 79.3%45.5Wed 7:25 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.