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The Sharp Edition
The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Wednesday, November 11, 2026 Week 11

College football · Week 11 · Saturday, November 14, 3:30 PM ET

18USC at 6Indiana

Indiana −7.5 at our first look, −10 now. Big Ten game. Team pages: USC · Indiana

Conditions · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN): Forecast 46°F, wind 9 mph, 0% chance of rain.

The read so far

News: USC 0.0 · Indiana −0.6 → favors USC by 0.6. Market: moved 2.5 toward Indiana. Not priced in

USC Trojans 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Indiana Hoosiers −0.6

QB Josh Hoover
ESPN, Wed 8:49 PM: Expected to play		 Expected to play−0.6

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Indiana lineIndiana Hoosiers spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Indiana.
−10−9−8−7Opening line−7.5Hoover clear of Indianaavailability report; two starterssidelined vs USCWed 3:52 PMmarket moved 5h before the report−2.5Line now−10
−10−9−8−7Opening line−7.5Hoover clear of Indiana availability report;two starters sidelined vs USCWed 3:52 PM · market moved 5h before the report−2.5Line now−10
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line−7.5
Hoover clear of Indiana availability report; two starters sidelined vs USCWed Nov 11, 3:52 PM ET-2.5
Line now−10
What moved the Indiana moneylineIndiana Hoosiers moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Indiana.
−257−285−317−355Opening line−247Hoover clear of Indianaavailability report; two starterssidelined vs USCWed 3:52 PMmarket moved 5h before the report−355Less than the spread implies−317Line now−317
−257−285−317−355Opening line−247Hoover clear of Indiana availability report;two starters sidelined vs USCWed 3:52 PM · market moved 5h before the report−355Less than the spread implies−317Line now−317
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line71.2% (−247)
Hoover clear of Indiana availability report; two starters sidelined vs USCWed Nov 11, 3:52 PM ET78.0% (−355)
Less than the spread implies76.0% (−317)
Line now76.0% (−317)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.

50.5 no movement since tracking began Wed 1:16 PM ET.

Notes

InjuryWed Nov 11, 8:49 PM · Indiana

Hoover clear of Indiana availability report; two starters sidelined vs USC

Indiana quarterback Josh Hoover was left off the Big Ten availability report for Saturday's game against USC, pointing to him being ready to play. Running back Turbo Richard and defensive lineman Kellan Wyatt are listed out for the game. ESPN

MarketWed Nov 11, 3:21 PM · Indiana

Line moves 1 toward Indiana with no reported news

The consensus spread on USC at Indiana has moved from −9 to −10 (home side), with 10 of 11 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.

Every Book · Indiana side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−10 −110−3801.26 76.0%50.5Wed 10:36 PM
DraftKings−10 −108−3801.26 76.0%50.5Wed 9:34 PM
FanDuel−9.5 −120−3851.26 76.5%50.5Wed 9:34 PM
BetMGM−10 −108−3751.27 75.9%50.5Wed 9:34 PM
Caesars−10 −106−3801.26 75.5%50.5Wed 9:34 PM
Fanatics−10 −110−3751.27 75.5%50.5Wed 9:34 PM
BetRivers−9.5 −113−3601.28 74.3%50.5Wed 9:34 PM
BetOnline−10 −110−3801.26 76.1%50.5Wed 9:34 PM
Bovada−10 −108−3701.27 75.4%50.5Wed 9:34 PM
LowVig−10 −106−3801.26 76.1%50.5Wed 9:34 PM
MyBookie−10 −110−4201.24 76.8%50.5Wed 9:34 PM
BetUS−10 −110−3801.26 76.2%50.5Wed 9:34 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.