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The Sharp Edition

The news that moves games, and whether the market has priced it in
Monday, October 5, 2026 Week 1 · Early Edition

College football · Week 1 · Saturday, September 5, 7:30 PM ET · Final UL Monroe 13, Mississippi State 62

UL Monroe at 17Mississippi State

Mississippi State −28.5 at our first look, −28.5 at kickoff. Sun Belt vs. SEC.

Conditions · Davis Wade Stadium: At kickoff: 93°F, wind 9 mph, dry.

The read at kickoff

News: UL Monroe 0.0 · Mississippi State 0.0. Market: line unchanged.

Landed: UL Monroe 13, Mississippi State 62. Mississippi State covered the closing line (Mississippi State −28.5). 75 points, over the closing total of 54.5.

UL Monroe Warhawks 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Mississippi State Bulldogs 0.0

No news that moves the number.

Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.

Line Movement

What moved the Mississippi State lineMississippi State Bulldogs spread, consensus of U.S. books. Right = against Mississippi State.

−28.5 no movement since tracking began Sun 9:55 AM ET.

What moved the Mississippi State moneylineMississippi State Bulldogs moneyline, no-vig consensus of U.S. books. Right = toward Mississippi State.
−1900Opening line−1900Closing line−1861
−1900Opening line−1900Closing line−1861
Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line95.0% (−1900)
Closing line94.9% (−1861)
What moved the totalConsensus over/under across U.S. books.
545556Opening line55.5Market move, no reported newsMon 11:55 AM−1Closing line54.5
545556Opening line55.5Market move, no reported newsMon 11:55 AM−1Closing line54.5

Final: 75 points, over the closing total of 54.5.

Data
CauseWhenMove
Opening line55.5
Market move, no reported newsMon Aug 31, 11:55 AM ET-1
Closing line54.5

Every Book · Mississippi State side

BookSpreadPriceMoneylineDecimalWin % (no-vig)TotalAs of
Consensus−28.5 −108−60001.02 94.9%54.5Sat 5:55 PM
DraftKings−28.5 −108−40001.02 94.3%54.5Sat 5:55 PM
FanDuel−28.5 −105−70001.01 95.4%54.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetMGM−28.5 −108−100001.01 95.4%54.5Sat 5:55 PM
Caesars−28.5 −107—— —54.5Sat 5:55 PM
Fanatics−28.5 −105−50001.02 95.4%54.5Sat 11:55 AM
BetRivers−28.5 −110—— —54.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetOnline−28 −110—— —54Sat 5:55 PM
Bovada−28 −105—— —54.5Sat 5:55 PM
LowVig−28 −108—— —54Sat 5:55 PM
MyBookie−28.5 −110−50001.02 93.2%54.5Sat 5:55 PM
BetUS−28 −110—— —54Sat 5:55 PM

College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.