College football · Week 5 · Saturday, October 3, 1:00 PM ET · Final Western Michigan 20, Buffalo 17
Western Michigan at Buffalo
Buffalo +16.5 at our first look, +12.5 at kickoff. Mid-American game.
Conditions · UB Stadium: At kickoff: 62°F, wind 7 mph, dry.
The read at kickoff
News: Western Michigan 0.0 · Buffalo 0.0. Market: moved 4 toward Buffalo.
Landed: Western Michigan 20, Buffalo 17. Buffalo covered the closing line (Buffalo +12.5). The move toward Buffalo was right. 37 points, under the closing total of 45.5.
Western Michigan Broncos 0.0
No news that moves the number.
Buffalo Bulls 0.0
No news that moves the number.
Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.
Line Movement
Final: Western Michigan 20, Buffalo 17. Buffalo beat the closing number by 9.5.
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | +16.5 | |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Sep 27, 3:55 PM ET | -2.5 |
| Market move, no reported news | Mon Sep 28, 9:55 AM ET | -1.5 |
| Closing line | +12.5 |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 14.2% (+604) | |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Sep 27, 3:55 PM ET | 14.2% (+604) |
| Market move, no reported news | Mon Sep 28, 9:55 AM ET | 16.6% (+502) |
| Price-only move | 19.2% (+421) | |
| Closing line | 19.2% (+421) |
Final: 37 points, under the closing total of 45.5.
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 50.5 | |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Sep 27, 3:55 PM ET | -3 |
| Market move, no reported news | Mon Sep 28, 9:55 AM ET | -2 |
| Closing line | 45.5 |
Every Book · Buffalo side
| Book | Spread | Price | Moneyline | Decimal | Win % (no-vig) | Total | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | +12.5 | −110 | +400 | 5.00 | 19.2% | 45.5 | Sat 11:55 AM |
| DraftKings | +12.5 | −108 | +400 | 5.00 | 19.2% | 45.5 | Sat 11:55 AM |
| FanDuel | +12.5 | −112 | +400 | 5.00 | 19.1% | 44.5 | Sat 11:55 AM |
| BetMGM | +12.5 | −108 | +400 | 5.00 | 19.2% | 45.5 | Sat 11:55 AM |
| Caesars | +14 | −110 | +500 | 6.00 | 15.9% | 47.5 | Mon 7:55 AM |
| Fanatics | +12.5 | −110 | +410 | 5.10 | 18.8% | 45.5 | Sat 11:55 AM |
| BetRivers | +12.5 | −112 | +480 | 5.80 | 16.4% | 45.5 | Sat 11:55 AM |
| BetOnline | +12.5 | −112 | +393 | 4.93 | 19.5% | 44.5 | Sat 11:55 AM |
| Bovada | +12.5 | −110 | +400 | 5.00 | 19.0% | 45.5 | Sat 11:55 AM |
| LowVig | +12.5 | −108 | +393 | 4.93 | 19.5% | 44.5 | Sat 11:55 AM |
| MyBookie | +13 | −110 | +430 | 5.30 | 18.0% | 45.5 | Sat 11:55 AM |
| BetUS | +12.5 | −110 | +390 | 4.90 | 19.7% | 45 | Sat 11:55 AM |
College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.