College football · Week 7 · Saturday, October 17, 1:00 PM ET · Final Massachusetts 18, Buffalo 25
Massachusetts at Buffalo
Buffalo −3.5 at our first look, −6.5 at kickoff. Mid-American game. Team pages: Massachusetts · Buffalo
Conditions · UB Stadium: Forecast 44°F, wind 9 mph, 0% chance of rain. At kickoff: 44°F, wind 9 mph, dry.
The read at kickoff
News: Massachusetts 0.0 · Buffalo 0.0. Market: moved 3 toward Buffalo.
Landed: Massachusetts 18, Buffalo 25. Buffalo covered the closing line (Buffalo −6.5). The move toward Buffalo was right. 43 points, under the closing total of 43.5.
Massachusetts Minutemen 0.0
No news that moves the number.
Buffalo Bulls 0.0
No news that moves the number.
Quarterback news, valued from college efficiency (this season, plus last at half weight) over the team's next quarterback, in points from his team's side. College football has no official injury report: statuses come from team and media reports. News that broke before the line opened is already in the opening number.
Line Movement
Final: Massachusetts 18, Buffalo 25. Buffalo beat the closing number by 0.5.
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | −3.5 | |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Oct 11, 4:27 PM ET | +0.5 |
| Market move, no reported news | Mon Oct 12, 10:37 AM ET | -3.5 |
| Closing line | −6.5 |
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 60.7% (−154) | |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Oct 11, 4:27 PM ET | 55.7% (−126) |
| Market move, no reported news | Mon Oct 12, 10:37 AM ET | 71.2% (−247) |
| Less than the spread implies | 67.9% (−212) | |
| Closing line | 67.9% (−212) |
Final: 43 points, under the closing total of 43.5.
Data
| Cause | When | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Opening line | 45.5 | |
| Reaction to last week's game | Sun Oct 11, 2:20 PM ET | -2.5 |
| Market move, no reported news | Mon Oct 12, 10:06 AM ET | +0.5 |
| Closing line | 43.5 |
Notes
Line moves 1 toward Buffalo with no reported news
The consensus spread on Massachusetts at Buffalo has moved from −6.5 to −7.5 (home side), with 8 of 9 books moving the same way (a broad, fast move). Neither team has reported news that explains it yet; moves like this often come before a story breaks.
Every Book · Buffalo side
| Book | Spread | Price | Moneyline | Decimal | Win % (no-vig) | Total | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | −6.5 | −113 | −240 | 1.42 | 67.9% | 43.5 | Sat 12:59 PM |
| DraftKings | −6.5 | −112 | −250 | 1.40 | 68.5% | 43.5 | Sat 12:59 PM |
| FanDuel | −6.5 | −110 | −245 | 1.41 | 67.9% | 42.5 | Sat 12:59 PM |
| BetMGM | −6.5 | −110 | −235 | 1.43 | 67.4% | 43.5 | Sat 12:59 PM |
| Caesars | −6.5 | −112 | −245 | 1.41 | 68.1% | 43.5 | Sat 12:59 PM |
| Fanatics | −6.5 | −105 | −235 | 1.43 | 67.0% | 41.5 | Mon 4:23 PM |
| BetRivers | −6.5 | −113 | −265 | 1.38 | 68.5% | 42.5 | Sat 12:59 PM |
| BetOnline | −6 | −115 | −240 | 1.42 | 67.9% | 43.5 | Sat 12:59 PM |
| Bovada | −6 | −115 | −230 | 1.43 | 66.9% | 43 | Sat 12:59 PM |
| LowVig | −6 | −116 | −240 | 1.42 | 67.9% | 43.5 | Sat 12:59 PM |
| MyBookie | — | — | — | — | — | 43.5 | Sat 12:59 PM |
| BetUS | −6 | −115 | −230 | 1.43 | 67.3% | 43.5 | Sat 12:59 PM |
College football has no official injury report: our notes come from team and media reports, linked at the source, in our own words. Lines are the consensus (the median across U.S. sportsbooks) unless a book is named.